Compagnie Financière Richemont SA

JSE:CFR Stock Report

Market Cap: R1.5t

Compagnie Financière Richemont Valuation

Is CFR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of CFR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: CFR (ZAR2520.71) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR2156.64)

Significantly Below Fair Value: CFR is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for CFR?

Key metric: As CFR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for CFR. This is calculated by dividing CFR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is CFR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio22.6x
Earnings€3.39b
Market Cap€76.74b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for CFR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average40.3x
CDI Christian Dior
17.2xn/a€100.0b
ADS adidas
104x38.1%€39.6b
LULU Lululemon Athletica
24.6x7.2%US$38.9b
2020 ANTA Sports Products
15.3x7.8%HK$218.0b
CFR Compagnie Financière Richemont
22.9x8.8%R72.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: CFR is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the peer average (40.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does CFR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Luxury Industry?

50 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
CFR 22.6xIndustry Avg. 19.0xNo. of Companies107PE01632486480+
50 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: CFR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.9x) compared to the Global Luxury industry average (19x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is CFR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

CFR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio22.6x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate CFR's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst CFR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR2,520.71
R2,840.46
+12.7%
10.1%R3,218.14R1,970.88n/a28
Nov ’25R2,551.50
R2,916.74
+14.3%
10.1%R3,194.67R1,976.83n/a28
Oct ’25R2,687.43
R2,915.02
+8.5%
10.4%R3,190.57R1,988.16n/a27
Sep ’25R2,797.63
R3,110.58
+11.2%
10.0%R3,413.70R2,035.46n/a27
Aug ’25R2,674.50
R3,116.28
+16.5%
9.1%R3,449.76R2,036.73n/a28
Jul ’25R2,822.58
R3,136.24
+11.1%
6.7%R3,437.05R2,368.35n/a27
Jun ’25R2,983.50
R3,175.64
+6.4%
8.5%R3,479.46R2,476.08n/a27
May ’25R2,647.87
R3,044.92
+15.0%
9.7%R3,482.77R2,445.80n/a27
Apr ’25R2,887.45
R3,057.38
+5.9%
9.3%R3,486.38R2,482.69n/a26
Mar ’25R3,057.00
R3,130.34
+2.4%
9.7%R3,602.91R2,515.75n/a27
Feb ’25R2,787.02
R2,984.81
+7.1%
9.8%R3,568.07R2,458.27n/a26
Jan ’25R2,567.61
R2,925.79
+13.9%
9.6%R3,511.20R2,402.30n/a26
Dec ’24R2,330.93
R2,926.72
+25.6%
13.8%R3,572.02R1,754.72n/a26
Nov ’24R2,184.91
R3,094.71
+41.6%
11.1%R3,748.51R2,349.78R2,551.5025
Oct ’24R2,319.24
R3,278.51
+41.4%
11.5%R3,981.10R2,384.52R2,687.4325
Sep ’24R2,638.36
R3,527.86
+33.7%
11.1%R4,218.83R2,418.14R2,797.6325
Aug ’24R2,848.23
R3,349.69
+17.6%
11.9%R4,034.04R2,312.21R2,674.5026
Jul ’24R3,205.52
R3,576.43
+11.6%
12.6%R4,196.51R2,386.86R2,822.5826
Jun ’24R3,071.99
R3,582.79
+16.6%
14.5%R4,339.90R2,387.73R2,983.5027
May ’24R3,015.39
R3,119.36
+3.4%
13.5%R3,800.22R2,210.46R2,647.8727
Apr ’24n/a
R2,949.04
0%
12.8%R3,603.17R2,119.80R2,887.4527
Mar ’24n/a
R2,896.66
0%
11.8%R3,599.48R2,132.76R3,057.0028
Feb ’24n/a
R2,787.62
0%
11.0%R3,228.11R2,075.64R2,787.0227
Jan ’24n/a
R2,525.06
0%
11.3%R3,122.90R1,930.48R2,567.6127
Dec ’23n/a
R2,441.44
0%
11.5%R3,033.22R1,875.04R2,330.9327
Nov ’23n/a
R2,430.18
0%
12.8%R3,142.61R1,919.11R2,184.9127

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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