Standard Bank Group Limited

JSE:SBK Stock Report

Market Cap: R368.3b

Standard Bank Group Valuation

Is SBK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SBK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
R184.14
Fair Value
21.1% overvalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: SBK (ZAR222.9) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR184.14)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SBK is trading above our estimate of fair value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SBK?

Key metric: As SBK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SBK. This is calculated by dividing SBK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SBK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio8.4x
EarningsR43.77b
Market CapR368.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SBK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SBK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average13.1x
CPI Capitec Bank Holdings
28.5x16.3%R350.0b
ABG Absa Group
8.4x14.9%R159.0b
NED Nedbank Group
8.4x9.4%R133.1b
GFNORTE O Grupo Financiero Banorte. de
7.3x5.0%Mex$404.8b
SBK Standard Bank Group
8.4x9.4%R368.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the peer average (13.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SBK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Banks Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SBK 8.4xIndustry Avg. 5.3xNo. of Companies20PE0612182430+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SBK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the African Banks industry average (5.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SBK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SBK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio8.4x
Fair PE Ratio11.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SBK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR222.90
R251.34
+12.8%
6.1%R269.00R221.00n/a8
Jan ’26R221.76
R255.18
+15.1%
4.2%R269.00R241.72n/a8
Dec ’25R236.88
R255.55
+7.9%
3.8%R269.00R241.72n/a8
Nov ’25R245.42
R256.78
+4.6%
3.9%R269.00R241.72n/a7
Oct ’25R238.47
R255.92
+7.3%
4.0%R269.00R241.72n/a7
Sep ’25R240.00
R252.03
+5.0%
5.2%R269.00R232.27n/a7
Aug ’25R221.92
R228.03
+2.8%
8.5%R263.00R192.00n/a8
Jul ’25R212.29
R219.04
+3.2%
8.1%R243.00R192.00n/a9
Jun ’25R179.18
R217.05
+21.1%
7.6%R243.00R192.00n/a9
May ’25R177.09
R219.06
+23.7%
8.1%R251.00R192.00n/a9
Apr ’25R185.24
R223.27
+20.5%
6.4%R251.00R203.00n/a10
Mar ’25R207.60
R225.61
+8.7%
5.6%R247.00R203.00n/a9
Feb ’25R198.29
R223.50
+12.7%
5.5%R247.00R204.00n/a9
Jan ’25R208.10
R219.90
+5.7%
7.7%R242.00R186.00R221.769
Dec ’24R200.38
R219.21
+9.4%
7.4%R242.00R186.00R236.889
Nov ’24R182.37
R217.83
+19.4%
8.2%R242.00R186.00R245.429
Oct ’24R183.72
R214.90
+17.0%
8.1%R242.00R186.00R238.4710
Sep ’24R193.12
R213.60
+10.6%
9.5%R243.00R172.00R240.0010
Aug ’24R191.00
R202.63
+6.1%
8.6%R227.00R172.00R221.9210
Jul ’24R177.55
R198.66
+11.9%
8.6%R217.00R168.00R212.2910
Jun ’24R152.90
R198.16
+29.6%
9.0%R217.00R168.00R179.189
May ’24R171.29
R199.89
+16.7%
8.0%R217.00R168.00R177.099
Apr ’24R172.81
R198.00
+14.6%
7.8%R217.00R168.00R185.2410
Mar ’24R185.69
R201.82
+8.7%
9.3%R237.00R162.00R207.6010
Feb ’24R182.54
R197.80
+8.4%
8.6%R228.00R162.00R198.299
Jan ’24R167.79
R201.15
+19.9%
6.3%R228.00R180.00R208.108
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 8 Analysts
R251.34
Fair Value
11.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
8
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/18 06:45
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/17 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Standard Bank Group Limited is covered by 22 analysts. 8 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harry BothaAnchor Stockbrokers Proprietary Limited
Jaap MeijerArqaam Capital Research Offshore S.A.L.
Adrienne DamantAvior Capital Markets