Standard Bank Group Limited

JSE:SBK Stock Report

Market Cap: R396.0b

Standard Bank Group Valuation

Is SBK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SBK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SBK (ZAR239.67) is trading above our estimate of fair value (ZAR182.5)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SBK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SBK?

Key metric: As SBK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SBK. This is calculated by dividing SBK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SBK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
EarningsR43.77b
Market CapR396.02b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SBK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SBK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average14x
CPI Capitec Bank Holdings
31x16.4%R380.7b
NED Nedbank Group
8.5x10.2%R135.4b
ABG Absa Group
7.3x14.4%R138.4b
1010 Riyad Bank
9.1x4.8%ر.س79.4b
SBK Standard Bank Group
9x9.5%R396.0b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (14x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SBK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the African Banks Industry?

6 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SBK 9.0xIndustry Avg. 5.2xNo. of Companies23PE0612182430+
6 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SBK is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the African Banks industry average (5.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SBK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SBK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ratio11.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SBK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (11.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SBK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentR239.67
R256.63
+7.1%
3.9%R269.00R241.72n/a7
Nov ’25R245.42
R256.78
+4.6%
3.9%R269.00R241.72n/a7
Oct ’25R238.47
R255.92
+7.3%
4.0%R269.00R241.72n/a7
Sep ’25R240.00
R252.03
+5.0%
5.2%R269.00R232.27n/a7
Aug ’25R221.92
R228.03
+2.8%
8.5%R263.00R192.00n/a8
Jul ’25R212.29
R219.04
+3.2%
8.1%R243.00R192.00n/a9
Jun ’25R179.18
R217.05
+21.1%
7.6%R243.00R192.00n/a9
May ’25R177.09
R219.06
+23.7%
8.1%R251.00R192.00n/a9
Apr ’25R185.24
R223.27
+20.5%
6.4%R251.00R203.00n/a10
Mar ’25R207.60
R225.61
+8.7%
5.6%R247.00R203.00n/a9
Feb ’25R198.29
R223.50
+12.7%
5.5%R247.00R204.00n/a9
Jan ’25R208.10
R219.90
+5.7%
7.7%R242.00R186.00n/a9
Dec ’24R200.38
R219.21
+9.4%
7.4%R242.00R186.00n/a9
Nov ’24R182.37
R217.83
+19.4%
8.2%R242.00R186.00R245.429
Oct ’24R183.72
R214.90
+17.0%
8.1%R242.00R186.00R238.4710
Sep ’24R193.12
R213.60
+10.6%
9.5%R243.00R172.00R240.0010
Aug ’24R191.00
R202.63
+6.1%
8.6%R227.00R172.00R221.9210
Jul ’24R177.55
R198.66
+11.9%
8.6%R217.00R168.00R212.2910
Jun ’24R152.90
R198.16
+29.6%
9.0%R217.00R168.00R179.189
May ’24R171.29
R199.89
+16.7%
8.0%R217.00R168.00R177.099
Apr ’24R172.81
R198.00
+14.6%
7.8%R217.00R168.00R185.2410
Mar ’24R185.69
R201.82
+8.7%
9.3%R237.00R162.00R207.6010
Feb ’24R182.54
R197.80
+8.4%
8.6%R228.00R162.00R198.299
Jan ’24R167.79
R201.15
+19.9%
6.3%R228.00R180.00R208.108
Dec ’23R167.47
R196.22
+17.2%
6.8%R228.00R180.00R200.389
Nov ’23R170.69
R188.00
+10.1%
4.0%R202.00R179.00R182.379

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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