Vietnam Airlines JSC Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of HVN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

HVN (₫27450) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (₫101749.06)

Is HVN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HVN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HVN (₫27450) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₫101749.06)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HVN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HVN?

Key metric: As HVN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HVN. This is calculated by dividing HVN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HVN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	16.1x
Earnings	₫3.77t
Market Cap	₫60.79t

HVN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HVN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HVN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	21x
VJC VietJet Aviation	39.4x	n/a	₫55.1t
PAL PAL Holdings	15.9x	n/a	₱134.0b
LGC CII Bridges and Roads Investment	13x	n/a	₫12.0t
GMD Gemadept	15.5x	10.7%	₫19.9t
HVN Vietnam Airlines JSC	16.1x	n/a	₫60.8t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HVN is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the peer average (21x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HVN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Airlines Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HVN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.1x) compared to the Asian Airlines industry average (11.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HVN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HVN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	16.1x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate HVN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.