Saigon Beer - Alcohol - Beverage Corporation

HOSE:SAB Stock Report

Market Cap: ₫71.1t

Saigon Beer - Alcohol - Beverage Valuation

Is SAB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SAB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SAB (₫55400) is trading above our estimate of fair value (₫17363.8)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SAB is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SAB?

Key metric: As SAB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SAB. This is calculated by dividing SAB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SAB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio16.9x
Earnings₫4.21t
Market Cap₫71.05t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SAB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SAB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average34.1x
BHN Hanoi Beer Alcohol and Beverage
27.3xn/a₫8.9t
MSN Masan Group
75.2x52.9%₫102.1t
VNM Vietnam Dairy Products
15.6x7.1%₫134.4t
VHC Vinh Hoan
18.3x22.1%₫16.1t
SAB Saigon Beer - Alcohol - Beverage
16.9x5.4%₫71.1t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SAB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the peer average (34.1x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SAB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Beverage Industry?

1 CompanyPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAB 16.9xIndustry Avg. 18.7xNo. of Companies26PE01632486480+
1 CompanyEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SAB is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the Asian Beverage industry average (18.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SAB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SAB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio16.9x
Fair PE Ratio15.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SAB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SAB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₫55,400.00
₫64,271.43
+16.0%
7.9%₫73,000.00₫57,500.00n/a7
Nov ’25₫55,300.00
₫64,871.43
+17.3%
8.1%₫71,200.00₫57,500.00n/a7
Oct ’25₫57,800.00
₫64,871.43
+12.2%
8.1%₫71,200.00₫57,500.00n/a7
Sep ’25₫57,500.00
₫64,942.86
+12.9%
8.0%₫71,200.00₫57,500.00n/a7
Aug ’25₫55,000.00
₫70,600.00
+28.4%
22.3%₫110,200.00₫57,500.00n/a8
Jul ’25₫60,900.00
₫73,516.67
+20.7%
20.4%₫110,200.00₫61,700.00n/a9
Jun ’25₫58,300.00
₫73,516.67
+26.1%
20.4%₫110,200.00₫61,700.00n/a9
May ’25₫54,400.00
₫75,806.25
+39.3%
20.3%₫110,200.00₫62,000.00n/a8
Apr ’25₫56,800.00
₫76,635.71
+34.9%
21.2%₫110,200.00₫62,000.00n/a7
Mar ’25₫58,600.00
₫78,835.71
+34.5%
19.3%₫110,200.00₫62,000.00n/a7
Feb ’25₫57,500.00
₫81,641.67
+42.0%
18.0%₫110,200.00₫63,100.00n/a6
Jan ’25₫63,000.00
₫85,541.67
+35.8%
14.2%₫110,200.00₫74,500.00n/a6
Dec ’24₫65,000.00
₫86,950.00
+33.8%
12.5%₫110,200.00₫74,500.00n/a8
Nov ’24₫57,400.00
₫94,078.57
+63.9%
7.8%₫110,200.00₫86,500.00₫55,300.007
Oct ’24₫72,500.00
₫94,078.57
+29.8%
7.8%₫110,200.00₫86,500.00₫57,800.007
Sep ’24₫79,000.00
₫94,078.57
+19.1%
7.8%₫110,200.00₫86,500.00₫57,500.007
Aug ’24₫79,200.00
₫96,757.14
+22.2%
8.4%₫113,600.00₫88,250.00₫55,000.007
Jul ’24₫76,800.00
₫96,656.25
+25.9%
7.8%₫113,600.00₫88,250.00₫60,900.008
Jun ’24₫79,100.00
₫94,235.71
+19.1%
4.6%₫102,500.00₫88,250.00₫58,300.007
May ’24₫86,000.00
₫101,587.50
+18.1%
3.5%₫106,500.00₫95,950.00₫54,400.006
Apr ’24₫92,350.00
₫101,587.50
+10.0%
3.5%₫106,500.00₫95,950.00₫56,800.006
Mar ’24₫96,250.00
₫104,405.00
+8.5%
8.2%₫120,000.00₫95,950.00₫58,600.005
Feb ’24₫93,500.00
₫107,540.00
+15.0%
7.6%₫120,000.00₫95,950.00₫57,500.005
Jan ’24₫83,450.00
₫106,891.67
+28.1%
7.1%₫120,000.00₫95,950.00₫63,000.006
Dec ’23₫87,700.00
₫106,891.67
+21.9%
7.1%₫120,000.00₫95,950.00₫65,000.006
Nov ’23₫91,800.00
₫111,975.00
+22.0%
5.0%₫117,500.00₫103,650.00₫57,400.004

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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