Tien Phong Commercial Joint Stock Bank

HOSE:TPB Stock Report

Market Cap: ₫44.0t

Tien Phong Commercial Bank Valuation

Is TPB undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TPB when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: TPB (₫16650) is trading below our estimate of fair value (₫29674.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: TPB is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TPB?

Key metric: As TPB is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TPB. This is calculated by dividing TPB's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TPB's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9x
Earnings₫4.86t
Market Cap₫43.99t

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TPB's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TPB vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average8.4x
EIB Vietnam Export Import Commercial Bank
13.4xn/a₫36.1t
SHB Saigon - Hanoi Commercial Bank
4.9xn/a₫37.5t
VIB Vietnam International Commercial Bank
8.3x17.3%₫58.7t
MSB Vietnam Maritime Commercial Bank
6.9x16.8%₫30.3t
TPB Tien Phong Commercial Bank
9xn/a₫44.0t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TPB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the peer average (8.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TPB's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Banks Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
TPB 9.0xIndustry Avg. 9.0xNo. of Companies78PE0612182430+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TPB is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9x) compared to the Asian Banks industry average (9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TPB's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TPB PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TPB's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst TPB forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
Current₫16,650.00
₫20,638.89
+24.0%
6.5%₫22,200.00₫18,916.67n/a3
Dec ’25₫16,200.00
₫19,600.00
+21.0%
8.1%₫21,800.00₫18,083.33n/a3
Nov ’25₫17,050.00
₫19,600.00
+15.0%
8.1%₫21,800.00₫18,083.33n/a3
Oct ’25₫17,100.00
₫18,500.00
+8.2%
2.3%₫18,916.67₫18,083.33n/a2
Sep ’25₫14,916.67
₫18,500.00
+24.0%
2.3%₫18,916.67₫18,083.33n/a2
Aug ’25₫14,750.00
₫18,500.00
+25.4%
2.3%₫18,916.67₫18,083.33n/a2
Jul ’25₫14,458.33
₫18,500.00
+28.0%
2.3%₫18,916.67₫18,083.33n/a2
Jun ’25₫14,708.33
₫18,500.00
+25.8%
2.3%₫18,916.67₫18,083.33n/a2
May ’25₫14,916.67
₫16,541.67
+10.9%
9.3%₫18,083.33₫15,000.00n/a2
Apr ’25₫15,625.00
₫16,541.67
+5.9%
9.3%₫18,083.33₫15,000.00n/a2
Mar ’25₫16,541.67
₫16,541.67
0.0%
9.3%₫18,083.33₫15,000.00n/a2
Feb ’25₫14,875.00
₫15,666.67
+5.3%
4.3%₫16,333.33₫15,000.00n/a2
Jan ’25₫14,500.00
₫15,666.67
+8.0%
4.3%₫16,333.33₫15,000.00n/a2
Dec ’24₫14,250.00
₫15,440.90
+8.4%
5.8%₫16,333.33₫14,548.46₫16,200.002
Nov ’24₫13,166.67
₫16,232.56
+23.3%
10.4%₫17,916.67₫14,548.46₫17,050.002
Oct ’24₫14,875.00
₫16,232.56
+9.1%
10.4%₫17,916.67₫14,548.46₫17,100.002
Sep ’24₫16,333.33
₫16,232.56
-0.6%
10.4%₫17,916.67₫14,548.46₫14,916.672
Aug ’24₫15,666.67
₫16,649.23
+6.3%
12.6%₫18,750.00₫14,548.46₫14,750.002
Jul ’24₫15,000.00
₫16,643.92
+11.0%
12.6%₫18,739.37₫14,548.46₫14,458.332
Jun ’24₫15,656.06
₫16,194.89
+3.4%
15.7%₫18,739.37₫13,650.41₫14,708.332
May ’24₫14,249.11
₫16,194.89
+13.7%
15.7%₫18,739.37₫13,650.41₫14,916.672
Apr ’24₫13,291.18
₫16,194.89
+21.8%
15.7%₫18,739.37₫13,650.41₫15,625.002
Mar ’24₫14,368.85
₫16,194.89
+12.7%
15.7%₫18,739.37₫13,650.41₫16,541.672
Feb ’24₫14,189.24
₫15,236.97
+7.4%
10.4%₫16,823.53₫13,650.41₫14,875.002
Jan ’24₫12,602.68
₫20,205.15
+60.3%
25.8%₫26,757.79₫13,650.41₫14,500.004
Dec ’23₫13,051.70
₫24,525.43
+87.9%
6.5%₫26,757.79₫23,229.64₫14,250.003

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/31 17:26
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/31 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Tien Phong Commercial Joint Stock Bank is covered by 5 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Manh TranBao Viet Securities Joint Stock Company
Hao NguyenMB Securities
Duy Minh TruongSSI Securities Corporation