TAURON Polska Energia Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of TNPG.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

TNPG.Y ($20.97) is trading above our estimate of [[future cash flow value]] ($18.51)

Is TNPG.Y undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

Below Future Cash Flow Value
Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of TNPG.Y when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

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Below Future Cash Flow Value: TNPG.Y ($20.97) is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value ($18.51)

Significantly Below Future Cash Flow Value: TNPG.Y is trading above our estimate of future cash flow value.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for TNPG.Y?

Key metric: As TNPG.Y is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for TNPG.Y. This is calculated by dividing TNPG.Y's market cap by their current earnings.
What is TNPG.Y's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	5x
Earnings	zł3.16b
Market Cap	zł15.79b

TNPG.Y key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	4x
PEG Ratio	-0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does TNPG.Y's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for TNPG.Y vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	23.9x
OTTR Otter Tail	13.2x	-4.81%	US$3.8b
MGEE MGE Energy	21x	7.28%	US$3.0b
HE Hawaiian Electric Industries	17.6x	13.31%	US$2.3b
TXNM TXNM Energy	43.9x	n/a	US$6.4b
TNPG.Y TAURON Polska Energia	5x	-6.63%	US$15.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: TNPG.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the peer average (23.9x).

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio

Historical Price to Earnings Ratio compares a stock's price to its earnings over time. Higher ratios indicate that investors are willing to pay more for the stock.

Fetching historical data

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does TNPG.Y's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
NRGI.Y Neoenergia	0.00003x	n/a	US$30.34k

No more companies available in this PE range

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: TNPG.Y is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (21.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is TNPG.Y's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

TNPG.Y PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	5x
Fair PE Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate TNPG.Y's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

AnalystPriceTarget

Community Contributor

US$25.08

Fair Value

16.4% undervalued

Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2026/08/01 04:40
End of Day Share Price	2026/06/11 00:00
Earnings	2026/03/31
Annual Earnings	2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

TAURON Polska Energia S.A. is covered by 17 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Beata Szparaga-Wasniewska	Biuro maklerskie mBanku
Michael Harleaux	BNP Paribas
Piotr Dzieciolowski	Citigroup Inc