MGE Energy, Inc.

NasdaqGS:MGEE Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.4b

MGE Energy Valuation

Is MGEE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MGEE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: MGEE ($94.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($570.95)

Significantly Below Fair Value: MGEE is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MGEE?

Key metric: As MGEE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for MGEE. This is calculated by dividing MGEE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is MGEE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.8x
EarningsUS$118.63m
Market CapUS$3.40b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does MGEE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for MGEE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.3x
OTTR Otter Tail
10.3x-18.7%US$3.1b
ALE ALLETE
20.7x14.7%US$3.7b
TXNM TXNM Energy
24.5x15.8%US$4.3b
POR Portland General Electric
13.5x7.6%US$4.6b
MGEE MGE Energy
28.8xn/aUS$3.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: MGEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the peer average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does MGEE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
MGEE 28.8xIndustry Avg. 20.5xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: MGEE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.8x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (20.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MGEE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MGEE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.8x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MGEE's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst MGEE forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$94.46
US$75.50
-20.1%
2.0%US$77.00US$74.00n/a2
Jan ’25US$72.31
US$68.50
-5.3%
5.1%US$72.00US$65.00n/a2
Dec ’24US$74.20
US$67.00
-9.7%
7.5%US$72.00US$62.00US$104.282
Nov ’24US$72.38
US$66.50
-8.1%
8.3%US$72.00US$61.00US$88.552
Oct ’24US$68.51
US$68.50
-0.01%
5.1%US$72.00US$65.00US$91.832
Sep ’24US$72.06
US$67.50
-6.3%
6.7%US$72.00US$63.00US$86.712
Aug ’24US$79.41
US$69.50
-12.5%
3.6%US$72.00US$67.00US$88.762
Jul ’24US$79.11
US$70.00
-11.5%
2.9%US$72.00US$68.00US$73.492
Jun ’24US$70.86
US$71.00
+0.2%
1.4%US$72.00US$70.00US$80.132
Apr ’24US$77.67
US$70.00
-9.9%
2.9%US$72.00US$68.00US$78.872
Mar ’24US$69.95
US$70.50
+0.8%
2.1%US$72.00US$69.00US$63.192
Feb ’24US$74.04
US$68.50
-7.5%
0.7%US$69.00US$68.00US$65.632
Jan ’24US$70.40
US$67.50
-4.1%
2.2%US$69.00US$66.00US$72.312
Dec ’23US$71.08
US$66.00
-7.1%
4.5%US$69.00US$63.00US$74.202

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 05:25
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

MGE Energy, Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
David ParkerBaird
Julien Dumoulin-SmithBofA Global Research
Nathan BatesD.A. Davidson & Co.