APA Group

OTCPK:APAJ.F Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.0b

APA Group Valuation

Is APAJ.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of APAJ.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: APAJ.F ($4.2) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($12.15)

Significantly Below Fair Value: APAJ.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for APAJ.F?

Key metric: As APAJ.F is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for APAJ.F. This is calculated by dividing APAJ.F's market cap by their current earnings.
What is APAJ.F's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio9.5x
EarningsAU$978.00m
Market CapAU$9.31b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does APAJ.F's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for APAJ.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average37.4x
NFG National Fuel Gas
74.3x44.2%US$5.8b
UGI UGI
23.9x11.4%US$6.3b
SWX Southwest Gas Holdings
31.3x14.2%US$5.7b
OGS ONE Gas
20.1x11.4%US$4.5b
APAJ.F APA Group
9.5x-25.4%US$9.3b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: APAJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the peer average (37.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does APAJ.F's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Gas Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
APAJ.F 9.5xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies15PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: APAJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the Global Gas Utilities industry average (14.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is APAJ.F's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

APAJ.F PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio9.5x
Fair PE Ratio19.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: APAJ.F is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (9.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst APAJ.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$4.20
US$5.40
+28.5%
9.0%US$6.00US$4.26n/a11
Nov ’25US$4.68
US$5.65
+20.8%
8.9%US$6.27US$4.45n/a11
Oct ’25US$4.92
US$5.76
+17.1%
6.4%US$6.34US$5.04n/a12
Sep ’25US$5.13
US$5.76
+12.3%
6.4%US$6.32US$5.03n/a12
Aug ’25US$4.90
US$5.83
+19.0%
7.0%US$6.48US$4.87n/a12
Jul ’25US$5.24
US$5.87
+12.0%
6.9%US$6.52US$4.92n/a12
Jun ’25US$5.37
US$5.87
+9.3%
6.9%US$6.52US$4.92n/a12
May ’25US$5.25
US$5.87
+11.8%
6.9%US$6.52US$4.92n/a12
Apr ’25US$5.27
US$5.86
+11.2%
7.4%US$6.48US$4.89n/a12
Mar ’25US$4.98
US$5.82
+16.9%
7.4%US$6.48US$4.89n/a12
Feb ’25US$5.49
US$5.97
+8.7%
7.0%US$6.56US$4.97n/a11
Jan ’25US$5.80
US$6.03
+4.0%
6.8%US$6.66US$5.04n/a11
Dec ’24US$5.56
US$5.97
+7.4%
7.7%US$6.77US$4.92n/a11
Nov ’24US$5.08
US$6.09
+19.9%
6.1%US$6.86US$5.55US$4.6811
Oct ’24US$5.39
US$6.34
+17.7%
6.1%US$7.04US$5.70US$4.9210
Sep ’24US$5.76
US$6.34
+10.1%
6.1%US$7.04US$5.70US$5.1310
Aug ’24US$6.44
US$7.17
+11.2%
5.6%US$7.98US$6.57US$4.9012
Jul ’24US$6.41
US$7.18
+12.0%
5.9%US$8.02US$6.60US$5.2414
Jun ’24US$6.46
US$6.98
+8.1%
6.0%US$7.82US$6.44US$5.3713
May ’24n/a
US$7.19
0%
6.1%US$8.06US$6.63US$5.2512
Apr ’24US$6.82
US$7.05
+3.3%
6.8%US$7.94US$6.33US$5.2713
Mar ’24US$7.22
US$7.26
+0.5%
6.7%US$8.18US$6.52US$4.9813
Feb ’24US$7.41
US$7.43
+0.2%
6.7%US$8.45US$6.69US$5.4913
Jan ’24US$7.05
US$7.06
+0.08%
7.0%US$8.07US$6.22US$5.8013
Dec ’23US$7.60
US$7.03
-7.6%
6.8%US$8.05US$6.21US$5.5613
Nov ’23US$6.70
US$6.65
-0.6%
6.3%US$7.57US$6.04US$5.0812

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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