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Spruce Power Holding Corporation's (NYSE:SPRU) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 56%
Spruce Power Holding Corporation (NYSE:SPRU) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 56% gain in the last month alone. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 90%.
In spite of the firm bounce in price, Spruce Power Holding may still be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x, since almost half of all companies in the Renewable Energy industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 2.2x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Check out our latest analysis for Spruce Power Holding
What Does Spruce Power Holding's Recent Performance Look Like?
Spruce Power Holding has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. Perhaps the market is expecting this acceptable revenue performance to take a dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Spruce Power Holding will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Spruce Power Holding, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Spruce Power Holding's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.
If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 23%. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 32% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Spruce Power Holding is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see the recent limited growth rates continue into the future and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What Does Spruce Power Holding's P/S Mean For Investors?
Spruce Power Holding's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Spruce Power Holding confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.
You need to take note of risks, for example - Spruce Power Holding has 3 warning signs (and 2 which are a bit concerning) we think you should know about.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NYSE:SPRU
Spruce Power Holding
Owns and operates distributed solar energy assets in the United States.
Mediocre balance sheet with low risk.
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