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Would Shareholders Who Purchased South Jersey Industries' (NYSE:SJI) Stock Year Be Happy With The Share price Today?
South Jersey Industries, Inc. (NYSE:SJI) shareholders should be happy to see the share price up 15% in the last quarter. But that is minimal compensation for the share price under-performance over the last year. After all, the share price is down 33% in the last year, significantly under-performing the market.
View our latest analysis for South Jersey Industries
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.
Even though the South Jersey Industries share price is down over the year, its EPS actually improved. It's quite possible that growth expectations may have been unreasonable in the past.
It's fair to say that the share price does not seem to be reflecting the EPS growth. So it's well worth checking out some other metrics, too.
We don't see any weakness in the South Jersey Industries' dividend so the steady payout can't really explain the share price drop. We'd be more worried about the fact that revenue fell 13% year on year. The market may be extrapolating the decline, leading to questions around the sustainability of the EPS.
The graphic below depicts how earnings and revenue have changed over time (unveil the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that South Jersey Industries has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? You can see how its balance sheet has strengthened (or weakened) over time in this free interactive graphic.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, South Jersey Industries' TSR for the last year was -30%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!
A Different Perspective
While the broader market gained around 23% in the last year, South Jersey Industries shareholders lost 30% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Longer term investors wouldn't be so upset, since they would have made 1.6%, each year, over five years. It could be that the recent sell-off is an opportunity, so it may be worth checking the fundamental data for signs of a long term growth trend. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for South Jersey Industries (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) that you should be aware of.
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on US exchanges.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:SJI
South Jersey Industries
South Jersey Industries, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides energy-related products and services.
Solid track record second-rate dividend payer.
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