Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That South Jersey Industries (NYSE:SJI) Is Using Debt Extensively

NYSE:SJI
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We note that South Jersey Industries, Inc. (NYSE:SJI) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for South Jersey Industries

What Is South Jersey Industries's Debt?

As you can see below, South Jersey Industries had US$3.29b of debt, at September 2020, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. And it doesn't have much cash, so its net debt is about the same.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:SJI Debt to Equity History February 22nd 2021

How Healthy Is South Jersey Industries' Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that South Jersey Industries had liabilities of US$1.10b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$3.57b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$10.1m as well as receivables valued at US$160.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$4.51b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$2.43b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. At the end of the day, South Jersey Industries would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 2.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 8.1 hit our confidence in South Jersey Industries like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Looking on the bright side, South Jersey Industries boosted its EBIT by a silky 34% in the last year. Like a mother's loving embrace of a newborn that sort of growth builds resilience, putting the company in a stronger position to manage its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if South Jersey Industries can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, South Jersey Industries burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both South Jersey Industries's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We should also note that Gas Utilities industry companies like South Jersey Industries commonly do use debt without problems. We're quite clear that we consider South Jersey Industries to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that South Jersey Industries is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , and 1 of those can't be ignored...

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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