Pinnacle West Capital Corporation

NYSE:PNW Stock Report

Market Cap: US$9.6b

Pinnacle West Capital Valuation

Is PNW undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PNW when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PNW ($84.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($111.03)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PNW is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PNW?

Key metric: As PNW is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PNW. This is calculated by dividing PNW's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PNW's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio15.6x
EarningsUS$615.61m
Market CapUS$9.55b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PNW's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PNW vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.6x
AGR Avangrid
12.2x0.5%US$13.8b
IDA IDACORP
20.5x12.8%US$5.8b
EVRG Evergy
16.3x6.6%US$14.1b
OGE OGE Energy
21.2x7.7%US$8.1b
PNW Pinnacle West Capital
15.5x5.8%US$9.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PNW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the peer average (17.6x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PNW's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
PNW 15.6xIndustry Avg. 20.2xNo. of Companies6PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PNW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (20.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PNW's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PNW PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio15.6x
Fair PE Ratio19.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PNW is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (19.4x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst PNW forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$84.60
US$93.60
+10.6%
7.5%US$106.00US$80.00n/a15
Dec ’25US$93.70
US$92.00
-1.8%
7.9%US$106.00US$80.00n/a14
Nov ’25US$85.83
US$90.86
+5.9%
7.2%US$105.00US$78.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$90.51
US$88.92
-1.8%
8.5%US$104.00US$75.00n/a13
Sep ’25US$87.52
US$85.50
-2.3%
7.8%US$95.00US$75.00n/a12
Aug ’25US$88.07
US$80.63
-8.5%
7.4%US$95.00US$72.00n/a12
Jul ’25US$75.72
US$79.96
+5.6%
6.9%US$95.00US$72.00n/a12
Jun ’25US$78.86
US$79.50
+0.8%
6.8%US$95.00US$74.00n/a12
May ’25US$74.94
US$76.00
+1.4%
9.2%US$95.00US$68.00n/a11
Apr ’25US$74.05
US$75.75
+2.3%
9.1%US$95.00US$68.00n/a12
Mar ’25US$68.05
US$75.25
+10.6%
9.6%US$95.00US$68.00n/a12
Feb ’25US$70.13
US$77.73
+10.8%
8.2%US$95.00US$71.00n/a11
Jan ’25US$71.84
US$77.73
+8.2%
8.1%US$95.00US$72.00n/a11
Dec ’24US$75.08
US$77.55
+3.3%
8.5%US$95.00US$71.00US$93.7011
Nov ’24US$75.57
US$79.00
+4.5%
9.6%US$95.00US$69.00US$85.8311
Oct ’24US$73.68
US$79.42
+7.8%
10.2%US$95.00US$61.00US$90.5112
Sep ’24US$75.97
US$79.33
+4.4%
10.4%US$95.00US$61.00US$87.5212
Aug ’24US$82.28
US$79.55
-3.3%
10.2%US$95.00US$61.00US$88.0711
Jul ’24US$81.46
US$78.27
-3.9%
12.3%US$95.00US$55.00US$75.7211
Jun ’24US$76.07
US$76.55
+0.6%
12.6%US$92.00US$55.00US$78.8611
May ’24US$78.92
US$75.73
-4.0%
11.3%US$92.00US$55.00US$74.9411
Apr ’24US$79.24
US$74.00
-6.6%
12.5%US$92.00US$55.00US$74.0511
Mar ’24US$73.29
US$74.58
+1.8%
12.3%US$92.00US$55.00US$68.0512
Feb ’24US$76.53
US$74.67
-2.4%
12.3%US$91.00US$55.00US$70.1312
Jan ’24US$76.04
US$73.08
-3.9%
13.1%US$91.00US$56.00US$71.8412
Dec ’23US$77.80
US$71.08
-8.6%
13.2%US$91.00US$56.00US$75.0812

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/19 22:43
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Pinnacle West Capital Corporation is covered by 32 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Gary HovisArgus Research Company
Daniel FordBarclays
Nicholas CampanellaBarclays