Stock Analysis

Here's Why Pinnacle West Capital (NYSE:PNW) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NYSE:PNW
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (NYSE:PNW) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

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Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

How Much Debt Does Pinnacle West Capital Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2025 Pinnacle West Capital had US$9.73b of debt, an increase on US$9.21b, over one year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:PNW Debt to Equity History May 30th 2025

How Strong Is Pinnacle West Capital's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Pinnacle West Capital had liabilities of US$3.17b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$17.2b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$10.0m and US$584.5m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$19.8b.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$10.8b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Pinnacle West Capital would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

View our latest analysis for Pinnacle West Capital

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Pinnacle West Capital has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 4.8 and its EBIT covered its interest expense 2.6 times. This suggests that while the debt levels are significant, we'd stop short of calling them problematic. On a slightly more positive note, Pinnacle West Capital grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Pinnacle West Capital can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Pinnacle West Capital burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Pinnacle West Capital's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. It's also worth noting that Pinnacle West Capital is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We're quite clear that we consider Pinnacle West Capital to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. So we're almost as wary of this stock as a hungry kitten is about falling into its owner's fish pond: once bitten, twice shy, as they say. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Pinnacle West Capital has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.