Stock Analysis

Here's Why FirstEnergy (NYSE:FE) Is Weighed Down By Its Debt Load

NYSE:FE
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that FirstEnergy Corp. (NYSE:FE) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the US Electric Utilities industry.

How Much Debt Does FirstEnergy Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that FirstEnergy had debt of US$21.3b at the end of September 2022, a reduction from US$23.7b over a year. Net debt is about the same, since the it doesn't have much cash.

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NYSE:FE Debt to Equity History December 7th 2022

How Healthy Is FirstEnergy's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that FirstEnergy had liabilities of US$3.49b falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$30.1b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$251.0m and US$1.45b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total US$31.9b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's massive market capitalization of US$23.8b, we think shareholders really should watch FirstEnergy's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Weak interest cover of 2.0 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 hit our confidence in FirstEnergy like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that FirstEnergy actually let its EBIT decrease by 8.4% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine FirstEnergy's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the last three years, FirstEnergy recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

To be frank both FirstEnergy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of managing its debt, based on its EBITDA, make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. And even its level of total liabilities fails to inspire much confidence. We should also note that Electric Utilities industry companies like FirstEnergy commonly do use debt without problems. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think FirstEnergy has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 3 warning signs for FirstEnergy (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable) you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.