Duke Energy Valuation

Is DUK undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DUK when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DUK ($112.17) is trading above our estimate of fair value ($76.41)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DUK is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DUK?

Key metric: As DUK is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DUK. This is calculated by dividing DUK's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DUK's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio20x
EarningsUS$4.33b
Market CapUS$86.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DUK's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DUK vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.2x
SO Southern
20.4x5.5%US$96.3b
CEG Constellation Energy
24.5x3.4%US$70.1b
AEP American Electric Power Company
19.4x9.1%US$51.3b
PCG PG&E
16.4x10.0%US$45.0b
DUK Duke Energy
20x7.7%US$86.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the peer average (20.2x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DUK's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Electric Utilities Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
DUK 20.0xIndustry Avg. 20.7xNo. of Companies7PE01020304050+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the US Electric Utilities industry average (20.7x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DUK's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DUK PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio20x
Fair PE Ratio20.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: DUK is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (20.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DUK forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$112.17
US$123.77
+10.3%
5.4%US$139.00US$113.00n/a17
Nov ’25US$112.68
US$123.24
+9.4%
5.6%US$139.00US$113.00n/a17
Oct ’25US$116.22
US$120.54
+3.7%
5.7%US$138.00US$113.00n/a18
Sep ’25US$113.95
US$117.10
+2.8%
5.6%US$135.00US$102.00n/a17
Aug ’25US$112.60
US$108.93
-3.3%
6.5%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Jul ’25US$99.35
US$106.81
+7.5%
6.9%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Jun ’25US$103.57
US$107.22
+3.5%
6.6%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
May ’25US$99.78
US$104.38
+4.6%
7.0%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Apr ’25US$96.07
US$104.38
+8.6%
6.9%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Mar ’25US$90.86
US$103.88
+14.3%
7.3%US$120.00US$94.00n/a17
Feb ’25US$97.79
US$105.00
+7.4%
6.5%US$120.00US$96.96n/a17
Jan ’25US$97.04
US$101.06
+4.1%
6.6%US$120.00US$90.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$92.64
US$98.23
+6.0%
6.9%US$120.00US$89.00n/a17
Nov ’24US$89.54
US$97.25
+8.6%
7.0%US$120.00US$91.00US$112.6816
Oct ’24US$88.26
US$100.56
+13.9%
6.4%US$120.00US$91.00US$116.2216
Sep ’24US$87.93
US$98.35
+11.9%
12.0%US$120.00US$59.00US$113.9517
Aug ’24US$92.15
US$100.50
+9.1%
12.7%US$120.00US$59.00US$112.6016
Jul ’24US$89.74
US$103.87
+15.7%
7.7%US$120.00US$90.00US$99.3515
Jun ’24US$88.12
US$108.57
+23.2%
4.4%US$120.00US$102.00US$103.5714
May ’24US$99.09
US$108.27
+9.3%
4.7%US$120.00US$101.00US$99.7815
Apr ’24US$96.47
US$106.87
+10.8%
5.1%US$120.00US$99.00US$96.0715
Mar ’24US$91.91
US$106.71
+16.1%
5.6%US$120.00US$93.00US$90.8617
Feb ’24US$102.54
US$108.06
+5.4%
6.2%US$120.00US$91.00US$97.7917
Jan ’24US$102.99
US$103.47
+0.5%
6.9%US$120.00US$91.00US$97.0417
Dec ’23US$100.31
US$102.17
+1.9%
6.4%US$120.00US$91.00US$92.6418
Nov ’23US$93.74
US$103.12
+10.0%
6.2%US$120.00US$94.00US$89.5417

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.


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