Stock Analysis

Altus Power (NYSE:AMPS) Use Of Debt Could Be Considered Risky

NYSE:AMPS
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Altus Power, Inc. (NYSE:AMPS) does have debt on its balance sheet. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Altus Power

What Is Altus Power's Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Altus Power had US$1.33b of debt, up from US$868.3m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$173.3m, its net debt is less, at about US$1.15b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NYSE:AMPS Debt to Equity History July 12th 2024

How Healthy Is Altus Power's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Altus Power had liabilities of US$146.1m falling due within a year, and liabilities of US$1.54b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$173.3m as well as receivables valued at US$20.1m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$1.49b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

The deficiency here weighs heavily on the US$671.5m company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. After all, Altus Power would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Altus Power shareholders face the double whammy of a high net debt to EBITDA ratio (14.4), and fairly weak interest coverage, since EBIT is just 0.44 times the interest expense. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. Fortunately, Altus Power grew its EBIT by 5.7% in the last year, slowly shrinking its debt relative to earnings. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Altus Power can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Altus Power saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Altus Power's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. After considering the datapoints discussed, we think Altus Power has too much debt. While some investors love that sort of risky play, it's certainly not our cup of tea. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example - Altus Power has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.