Avangrid, Inc.

NYSE:AGR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$13.9b

This company has been acquired

The company may no longer be operating, as it has been acquired. Find out why through their latest events.

Avangrid Dividends and Buybacks

Dividend criteria checks 3/6

Avangrid is a dividend paying company with a current yield of 4.89% that is well covered by earnings. Next payment date is on 2nd January, 2025 with an ex-dividend date of 2nd December, 2024.

Key information

4.9%

Dividend yield

n/a

Buyback Yield

Total Shareholder Yieldn/a
Future Dividend Yield4.9%
Dividend Growth3.1%
Next dividend pay date02 Jan 25
Ex dividend date02 Dec 24
Dividend per sharen/a
Payout ratio61%

Recent dividend and buyback updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Dec 27

Avangrid: There Are Better Utilities To Buy

Summary Avangrid, an energy services and delivery company, generated $1.92bn in revenues in Q3'23, a 10.73% YoY decline. The company aims for sustainable earnings growth, network growth, and ESG inclusion to remain a stable income pick. Avangrid's stock has underperformed the utility industry and the wider market, and it has the poorest performance among its peers. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Oct 11

Avangrid: Dividend Should Be Suspended To Protect Cash

Summary Avangrid's stock has declined over 33% in the past 16+ months due to missed earnings projections and rising US bond yields. The company's dividend yield is currently 5.84%, which may attract long-term investors who see the stock as undervalued. Avangrid's dividend growth rates have been negligible over the past decade, and its dividend payout ratio is not sustainable due to free cash flow deficits. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jul 28

Avangrid Inc.: Expanding Wind Farms In Hopes Of Reaching Growth Targets

Summary Avangrid Inc. has shown strong results in the renewable energy industry, attracting capital and incentives to invest. The company has a solid market position in the offshore wind market and a history of growing its capacities. However, the growth outlook for AGR is slow compared to other companies in the sector, and its valuation is in line with the industry. AGR is considered a hold rather than a buy. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Feb 21

Avangrid Non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 misses by $0.11, revenue of $2.16B beats by $350M

Avangrid press release (NYSE:AGR): Q4 Non-GAAP EPS of $0.29 misses by $0.11. Revenue of $2.16B (+11.9% Y/Y) beats by $350M. 2023 Earnings and Adjusted Earnings Outlook of $1.90-$2.10 per share and $2.20-$2.35 per share vs. $2.29 consensus, respectively; reiterating 6-7% EPS and Adjusted EPS Cumulative Annual Growth Rate through 2025 off of the mid-point of 2022 EPS outlook
Seeking Alpha • Oct 06

Avangrid: Risks Outweigh The Reward

Summary Avangrid kicks off its first investor day with new CEO Pedro Azagra at the helm. The mid-term financial targets were revised lower, but could still be vulnerable to downgrades depending on execution. At the current rich valuation, the risk/reward seems unfavorable at these levels. New CEO Pedro Azagra kicked off his tenure at Avangrid (AGR) with an aggressive growth message, although operating challenges still led to the mid-term EPS target range being lowered to 6-7% CAGR through 2025. To be clear, AGR's growth and dividend potential as a regulated utility are compelling over the long run - through increased investments and the partial sale of its onshore renewable ownership stakes, AGR is on track to build out a more stable earnings stream. Yet, execution remains the key overhang to the outlook over the next twelve months. In particular, the outcome of the pending New York/Connecticut/Maine rate cases could drive significant upward (or downward) revisions to the guidance, along with the pending PNM acquisition. At ~12x EBITDA, the valuation is also rich given the rate case risk and execution challenges ahead. Data by YCharts Offshore Wind as the Key Renewables Driver The primary renewables focus for AGR remains wind (offshore and onshore). For onshore wind, the company is adopting a more risk-adjusted approach via a partnership model. In line with this shift, AGR will sell down ~60% of its 2024-2025 onshore projects, with total onshore megawatts growth down to ~650MW through 2025 (vs the prior plan for ~2.3GW of onshore additions). Given the recent Inflation Reduction Act singled out the importance of renewables as a long-term focus, the lower onshore development targets came as a surprise. Expect the earnings growth potential to move lower as a result, although the move does free up equity financing for other projects or transactions. In the meantime, AGR's offshore scale at 2.4GW (under power purchase agreements) remains intact and should support the overall outlook for the renewables segment. Avangrid For now, execution is the key concern - AGR is guiding for further delays to the commercial operation date for Park City/Commonwealth due to the current supply chain challenges and interest rate headwinds. To mitigate the risk, AGR is increasingly de-risking its cash flow by expanding its regulated utility exposure to offset the risk (mainly via investments and sell downs of its onshore/offshore renewable ownership stakes). Still, I would remain cautious on the project risk associated with building out offshore wind farms, particularly given the limited visibility into project returns at this early stage of the industry cycle. Avangrid A Challenging Mid-Term Financial Outlook AGR's EPS CAGR over the 2022-2025 period now stands at 6-7% (down from the prior 6-8%), inclusive of contribution from PNM and New England Clean Energy Connect (NECEC), as well as new onshore renewables partnerships. The outlook also incorporates a $1.9bn equity raise in FY24 (although asset monetization could reduce the final amount) and proceeds from a partial sale of the Kitty Hawk lease. Of these, AGR's pending PNM acquisition is the top growth driver of the base case - even though an outcome is far from certain given AGR is still litigating in the New Mexico courts. At this stage, I don't take a view on the likelihood of a transaction closing, but would note the significant implications of a deal break to the earnings outlook (negative), as well as the balance sheet (positive, as it negates any future equity financing). Avangrid Beyond the PNM deal, following through on the planned renewable asset sales also represents a crucial step to achieving the mid-term target, particularly given the contribution has already been included in adj EPS. The bar is high for AGR's 2022 EPS guidance as well - at the $2.29/share mid-point, AGR is penciling in a sizeable ~$0.46/share of benefit from one-time offshore wind lease area gains. The current 2023 EPS expectations of around $2.20-$2.40/share also incorporates ~$100m of pre-tax contribution from the partial sale of its Kitty Hawk offshore wind lease area (equivalent to (~$0.20 of EPS). In sum, the execution bar is high and any challenges could result in more earnings downgrades ahead. Pending Rate Cases are the Key Near-Term Swing Factor AGR's active New York/Connecticut/Maine rate cases present material upside/downside to estimates, given these multi-year plans (through 2026) entail capital investments and ROEs well in excess of AGR's revised outlook. AGR has also not incorporated the requested capital/rate base increases in its current ~7% rate base growth outlook, so favorable (or unfavorable) outcomes will be worth keeping an eye on. For context, the NY rate case, the most material of the three, calls for a massive multi-year rate plan requiring $8.6bn of investments over the next three years. The capital outlay will need to be weighed against the ongoing impact of elevated commodity prices on customer bills, though, with the challenging backdrop likely weighing on rate activity going forward. In sum, securing multi-year plans without lofty efficiency targets will be a delicate balancing act for AGR's networks segment and thus, increases the execution risk.

Stability and Growth of Payments

Fetching dividends data

Stable Dividend: Whilst dividend payments have been stable, AGR has been paying a dividend for less than 10 years.

Growing Dividend: AGR's dividend payments have increased, but the company has only paid a dividend for 9 years.

Dividend Yield vs Market

Avangrid Dividend Yield vs Market
How does AGR dividend yield compare to the market?
SegmentDividend Yield
Company (AGR)4.9%
Market Bottom 25% (US)1.4%
Market Top 25% (US)4.2%
Industry Average (Electric Utilities)2.7%
Analyst forecast (AGR) (up to 3 years)4.9%

Notable Dividend: AGR's dividend (4.89%) is higher than the bottom 25% of dividend payers in the US market (1.45%).

High Dividend: AGR's dividend (4.89%) is in the top 25% of dividend payers in the US market (4.5%)

Earnings Payout to Shareholders

Earnings Coverage: With its reasonable payout ratio (60.7%), AGR's dividend payments are covered by earnings.

Cash Payout to Shareholders

Cash Flow Coverage: AGR is paying a dividend but the company has no free cash flows.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 11:32
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Avangrid, Inc. is covered by 11 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Eric BeaumontBarclays
Paul ZimbardoBofA Global Research
Gregory GordonEvercore ISI