AES Balance Sheet Health
Financial Health criteria checks 1/6
AES has a total shareholder equity of $12.3B and total debt of $31.8B, which brings its debt-to-equity ratio to 259.6%. Its total assets and total liabilities are $52.8B and $40.6B respectively. AES's EBIT is $2.2B making its interest coverage ratio 2. It has cash and short-term investments of $1.7B.
Key information
259.60%
Debt to equity ratio
US$31.80b
Debt
| Interest coverage ratio | 2x |
| Cash | US$1.65b |
| Equity | US$12.25b |
| Total liabilities | US$40.57b |
| Total assets | US$52.82b |
Recent financial health updates
Recent updates
Narrative Update • Apr 28
AES: Take Private Offer And Deal Risk Will Shape Future Returns
The AES analyst fair value estimate has been revised from about $21.14 to about $15.74 as analysts align targets with the $15.00 per share cash offer and incorporate a mix of higher modeled revenue growth, lower margins, a lower future P/E, and a slightly higher discount rate following a series of downgrades tied to the proposed take private transaction. Analyst Commentary Street research around AES has shifted quickly as the proposed US$15.00 per share take private offer set a new reference point for valuation.
Narrative Update • Apr 14
AES: Take Private Bid And Data Center Projects Will Guide Returns
The consensus analyst price target for AES has been reset to $15.00, with recent downgrades and neutral ratings reflecting the pending $15.00 per share take private offer by Global Infrastructure Partners and EQT Infrastructure VI, and a view that outcomes now hinge largely on deal approval rather than standalone growth assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around AES largely centers on the pending take private offer and the repricing of the shares around the US$15.00 per share cash bid.Narrative Update • Mar 31
AES: Take Private Offer And Data Center Commitments Will Shape Future Upside
The analyst fair value estimate for AES has been revised from $8.50 to $15.00. Analysts are pointing to the $15 per share take-private offer and a cluster of recent downgrades and Neutral ratings that now anchor expectations around the deal price.
Narrative Update • Mar 16
AES: Take Private Offer And Rumored Bidding Interest Will Shape Outlook
AES’s updated analyst price target has shifted slightly higher to about $15.33 from $15.29 as analysts align their views with the proposed $15 per share cash acquisition and factor in a modestly adjusted outlook for growth and profitability. Analyst Commentary Recent research around AES has largely converged on the proposed US$15 per share cash offer from Global Infrastructure Partners and the EQT Infrastructure VI fund, with target prices and ratings moving to reflect a take private scenario rather than a standalone growth story.Narrative Update • Mar 02
AES: Potential Take Private Interest Will Support Future Share Upside
The updated analyst work on AES reflects a modest trim in the intrinsic value estimate to about $21.14 from $22.32. Analysts are weighing a slightly lower assumed P/E multiple alongside recent shifts in Street targets and ratings that include both cuts, such as HSBC's $16 target and Morgan Stanley's move to $23, as well as upgrades tied to potential take private interest.Seeking Alpha • Feb 24
AES: The Rebound Played Out, The Proof Still Pending
Summary AES Corporation (AES) is downgraded to Hold, after a ~27% total return since last August, as risk/reward is now less favorable. EBITDA recovery and rerating have played out, but high leverage (~7x net debt/EBITDA) and negative free cash flow persist, due to elevated capex. Data center agreements and renewables offer long-term growth, but capital intensity and acquisition speculation introduce near-term uncertainty. I recommend booking profits before Q4, awaiting confirmation on EBITDA guidance, deleveraging progress, and clarity on acquisition risks. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaNarrative Update • Feb 16
AES: Takeover Interest And Data Center Demand Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have nudged their price target on AES higher to about $22.32 from roughly $22.20, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E that modestly support a higher fair value despite mixed recent Street views. Analyst Commentary Recent Street commentary on AES has been mixed, but there are a few clear positives that bullish analysts are focusing on as they revisit their models and price targets.Narrative Update • Feb 02
AES: Panama Lawsuit And Market Rumors Will Shape Forward Outlook
Analysts have adjusted their price targets for AES slightly, reflecting updated views on modestly positive revenue growth of about 1.20%, a profit margin estimate near 14.61%, and a relatively steady forward P/E assumption of around 8.47x. What's in the News Panamanian companies Sinolam LNG Terminal, S.A. and Sinolam Smarter Energy LNG Power Co. filed a civil action in the Circuit Court for Arlington County, Virginia, against AES Corporation and partners including InterEnergy Holdings (UK) Limited, alleging a years long scheme to exclude Sinolam from Panama's liquefied natural gas to power market (Key Developments).Narrative Update • Jan 19
AES: Data Center Pipeline And Legal Disputes Will Constrain Future Upside
Analysts have lifted their price target on AES to US$24 from US$23, citing updated views on fair value, a slightly higher discount rate, and revised assumptions for revenue trends, profit margins, and future P/E multiples, as they incorporate recent sector research on utilities and data center exposure. Analyst Commentary Analysts lifting the price target to US$24 from US$23 reflects updated views on fair value as they refresh sector work on utilities and data center exposure.Narrative Update • Jan 05
AES: Data Center Demand Will Drive Earnings Upside Under Higher Price Outlook
Analysts have raised their price target on AES Corp. to $24 from $23, citing improving profit margin expectations and growing interest in utilities tied to expanding data center infrastructure.Narrative Update • Dec 19
AES: Data Center Power Demand Will Drive Upside Under Pending GIP Deal
Analysts have nudged their price target for AES higher to $24 from $23, reflecting a modest increase in fair value estimates supported by expectations for improved profit margins and growing opportunities tied to data center driven demand for utilities. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts are pointing to a more constructive outlook for AES as they incorporate improving fundamentals and a clearer growth runway into their valuation models.Narrative Update • Dec 05
AES: Data Center Demand And GIP Takeover Prospects Will Shape Outlook
The analyst price target for AES has been raised by $1 to $24, reflecting analysts' increased optimism as they highlight the company's positioning amid evolving data center demand and improving sector performance. Analyst Commentary Recent price target revisions signal growing confidence in AES's ability to capitalize on structural shifts in power demand, particularly from data centers, while still leaving room for scrutiny around execution and timing risks.Narrative Update • Nov 21
AES: Data Center Demand and Takeover Talks Will Drive Future Momentum
The analyst price target for AES has increased from $23 to $24. This reflects a modest shift based on analysts' positive outlook on utility sector performance and expectations tied to data center expansion and interconnection trends.Narrative Update • Nov 07
AES: Sector Outperformance and Major Acquisition Talks Will Shape the Outlook
The analyst price target for AES has increased by $0.75 to $24.00. Analysts cite an improved fair value and outlook for the utility sector, driven by evolving data center demands and sector outperformance.Narrative Update • Oct 23
Analyst Commentary Highlights Upgraded Price Target and Mergers Activity for AES Amid Shifting Sector Trends
The analyst consensus price target for AES has increased from $23 to $24. This change reflects updated sector outlooks and expectations around evolving industry dynamics according to analysts.Narrative Update • Oct 08
Renewable Energy And Storage Projects Will Secure Lasting Value
Analysts have slightly raised their price target for AES from $13.83 to $14.13, citing minor improvements in profit margin expectations and adjusted future valuations. What's in the News BlackRock's Global Infrastructure Partners is closing in on a $38 billion acquisition of utility group AES, potentially making it one of the largest infrastructure takeovers to date (Financial Times).Analysis Article • Jul 18
Investors Still Aren't Entirely Convinced By The AES Corporation's (NYSE:AES) Earnings Despite 25% Price Jump
The AES Corporation ( NYSE:AES ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 25% share price jump in the last...Analysis Article • Jun 27
When Should You Buy The AES Corporation (NYSE:AES)?
While The AES Corporation ( NYSE:AES ) might not have the largest market cap around , it saw a double-digit share price...Seeking Alpha • Apr 21
AES: Misunderstood And On The Brink Of A Renewables Cash Surge
Summary AES Corporation is transitioning from a high-debt utility to a cash-generating, renewables-focused platform, offering a mispriced investment opportunity. The business model combines stable U.S.-regulated utilities with growth in clean energy, providing steady cash flow and earnings. Trading at a low valuation with a high dividend yield, AES presents an attractive risk-reward setup for long-term investors if it meets its 2025 targets. Key risks include project delays, high debt, and international exposure, but catalysts like new renewables and positive free cash flow could drive re-rating. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Mar 12
AES Corporation Is Too Cheap To Ignore
Summary AES Corporation is trading at a dirt-cheap valuation that sits significantly below its historical PE, presenting a compelling value opportunity. Despite short-term headwinds, AES is making strong progress in renewable energy, signing significant power purchase agreements, and expanding renewable and gas capacity. AES offers a well-covered 6.3% dividend yield, with steady EBITDA and EPS growth projections, and long-term demand for clean energy from corporate clients. Risks include regulatory changes and higher interest rates, but AES's safe harbor protections, international exposure, and cost efficiencies mitigate these concerns. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Jan 27
AES Corp.: What I Got Wrong (And Right)
Summary AES Corporation's aggressive transition to renewables, favorable valuation, and 6% dividend yield present a compelling risk-reward opportunity after a 40% share price drop. Q3 results showed strong EPS but missed revenue estimates. The report documented significant renewable expansion and infrastructure developments, but the near-term financial benefits are lagging. Peers like Vistra, Clearway, and Sempra have outperformed due to more balanced portfolios and lower leverage, highlighting AES's concentration risks. AES remains a long-term growth opportunity despite short-term volatility. Recommended at $12 for patient investors. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Nov 24
AES Stock: Oversold For Utility With Dividend And Growth
Summary The Trump Trade has caused a significant selloff of AES Corp., ignoring its strong fundamentals and creating a buying opportunity. Despite potential loss of renewable energy tax credits, AES' diverse income sources and strategic shift to renewables offer substantial upside. AES' stable dividend yield of 5.21% and large investments in renewable projects backed by long-term PPAs ensure future growth. Risks from currency fluctuations, gas prices, and debt are mitigated through prudent hedging and fixed interest rate borrowing. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Sep 19
AES: Undervalued With Underappreciated Growth Prospects
Summary The Utilities sector has surged in 2024, driven by impending interest rate cuts and late-cycle business dynamics. The AES Corporation may be as much as 15–20% undervalued while also offering a 3.59% dividend yield. Its valuation metrics compare favorably to those of larger peers like NextEra Energy and Vistra. AES's aggressive shift to renewables and diverse revenue streams peers position it well for long-term growth, and this is supported by a growing project backlog. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
New Narrative • Aug 22
Leveraging AI And Renewable Energy Partnerships For Future Growth And Profitability
AES's integration of generative AI and technology partnerships, especially in renewable energy, aims to solidify competitive advantages and revenue growth.Seeking Alpha • Jul 16
AES: Renewable Utilities With A Continued Upside
Summary AES has delivered a 7.12% RoR inclusive of dividends, slightly below the S&P 500, but with potential for growth and improvement. The company is a play on renewables with a growing portfolio of assets, strong customer base, and solid fundamentals. AES stock is undervalued compared to the broader market, with a potential 15% annualized upside and a price target of at least $25/share. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaSeeking Alpha • Apr 27
The AES Corporation Is In Transition, BEP Is The Better Alternative
Summary AES Corporation is transitioning from coal and gas-fired power plants to renewables and storage and still has impairment losses due to the coal exit. Compared to its competitor Brookfield Renewables, AES has a lower dividend yield and a lower EBITDA margin. In my opinion, the adjusted EBITDA and EPS figures don't reflect the business well enough as EBITDA doesn't include interest, depreciation, and amortization, but adjusted EPS includes the subsidiaries received. Read the full article on Seeking AlphaFinancial Position Analysis
Short Term Liabilities: AES's short term assets ($6.1B) do not cover its short term liabilities ($8.4B).
Long Term Liabilities: AES's short term assets ($6.1B) do not cover its long term liabilities ($32.2B).
Debt to Equity History and Analysis
Debt Level: AES's net debt to equity ratio (246.1%) is considered high.
Reducing Debt: AES's debt to equity ratio has reduced from 296.7% to 259.6% over the past 5 years.
Debt Coverage: AES's debt is not well covered by operating cash flow (15.6%).
Interest Coverage: AES's interest payments on its debt are not well covered by EBIT (2x coverage).
Balance Sheet
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/07 14:01 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/07 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/03/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
The AES Corporation is covered by 21 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Gary Hovis | Argus Research Company |
| Daniel Ford | Barclays |
| Nicholas Campanella | Barclays |