Stock Analysis

We Think Via Renewables (NASDAQ:VIA) Is Taking Some Risk With Its Debt

NasdaqGS:VIA
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that Via Renewables, Inc. (NASDAQ:VIA) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Via Renewables

How Much Debt Does Via Renewables Carry?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Via Renewables had debt of US$105.0m at the end of September 2023, a reduction from US$113.0m over a year. However, because it has a cash reserve of US$53.4m, its net debt is less, at about US$51.6m.

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NasdaqGS:VIA Debt to Equity History November 5th 2023

A Look At Via Renewables' Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Via Renewables had liabilities of US$60.8m due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$106.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$53.4m as well as receivables valued at US$55.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total US$58.0m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of US$52.6m, we think shareholders really should watch Via Renewables's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Via Renewables's net debt is sitting at a very reasonable 1.6 times its EBITDA, while its EBIT covered its interest expense just 2.5 times last year. While these numbers do not alarm us, it's worth noting that the cost of the company's debt is having a real impact. We also note that Via Renewables improved its EBIT from a last year's loss to a positive US$24m. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Via Renewables's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. Over the last year, Via Renewables actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Our View

Neither Via Renewables's ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT nor its level of total liabilities gave us confidence in its ability to take on more debt. But the good news is it seems to be able to convert EBIT to free cash flow with ease. It's also worth noting that Via Renewables is in the Electric Utilities industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. We think that Via Renewables's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 3 warning signs for Via Renewables (1 is concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.