Stock Analysis

NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE) Is Increasing Its Dividend To US$0.63

NasdaqGS:NWE
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NorthWestern Corporation (NASDAQ:NWE) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend on the 31st of March to US$0.63. This will take the annual payment to 4.1% of the stock price, which is above what most companies in the industry pay.

See our latest analysis for NorthWestern

NorthWestern's Earnings Easily Cover the Distributions

We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, NorthWestern's earnings were much higher than the dividend, but it wasn't converting those earnings into cash flow. No cash flows could definitely make returning cash to shareholders difficult, or at least mean the balance sheet will come under pressure.

EPS is set to fall by 7.5% over the next 12 months. If recent patterns in the dividend continue, we could see the payout ratio reaching 82% in the next 12 months, which is on the higher end of the range we would say is sustainable.

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NasdaqGS:NWE Historic Dividend March 1st 2022

NorthWestern Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from US$1.44 in 2012 to the most recent annual payment of US$2.52. This implies that the company grew its distributions at a yearly rate of about 5.8% over that duration. Dividends have grown at a reasonable rate over this period, and without any major cuts in the payment over time, we think this is an attractive combination as it provides a nice boost to shareholder returns.

NorthWestern May Find It Hard To Grow The Dividend

Investors who have held shares in the company for the past few years will be happy with the dividend income they have received. Although it's important to note that NorthWestern's earnings per share has basically not grown from where it was five years ago, which could erode the purchasing power of the dividend over time. Growth of 0.3% per annum is not particularly high, which might explain why the company is paying out a higher proportion of earnings. This could mean the dividend doesn't have the growth potential we look for going into the future.

Our Thoughts On NorthWestern's Dividend

Overall, this is probably not a great income stock, even though the dividend is being raised at the moment. With cash flows lacking, it is difficult to see how the company can sustain a dividend payment. We would be a touch cautious of relying on this stock primarily for the dividend income.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. However, there are other things to consider for investors when analysing stock performance. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for NorthWestern (of which 1 is significant!) you should know about. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.