Stock Analysis

NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE) Has Some Way To Go To Become A Multi-Bagger

NasdaqGS:NWE
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If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for? Amongst other things, we'll want to see two things; firstly, a growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and secondly, an expansion in the company's amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. Although, when we looked at NorthWestern (NASDAQ:NWE), it didn't seem to tick all of these boxes.

What is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?

Just to clarify if you're unsure, ROCE is a metric for evaluating how much pre-tax income (in percentage terms) a company earns on the capital invested in its business. Analysts use this formula to calculate it for NorthWestern:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.042 = US$269m ÷ (US$6.8b - US$380m) (Based on the trailing twelve months to December 2021).

Therefore, NorthWestern has an ROCE of 4.2%. In absolute terms, that's a low return but it's around the Integrated Utilities industry average of 4.6%.

Check out our latest analysis for NorthWestern

roce
NasdaqGS:NWE Return on Capital Employed April 5th 2022

Above you can see how the current ROCE for NorthWestern compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report for NorthWestern.

What Can We Tell From NorthWestern's ROCE Trend?

There are better returns on capital out there than what we're seeing at NorthWestern. Over the past five years, ROCE has remained relatively flat at around 4.2% and the business has deployed 31% more capital into its operations. Given the company has increased the amount of capital employed, it appears the investments that have been made simply don't provide a high return on capital.

What We Can Learn From NorthWestern's ROCE

In summary, NorthWestern has simply been reinvesting capital and generating the same low rate of return as before. And with the stock having returned a mere 23% in the last five years to shareholders, you could argue that they're aware of these lackluster trends. As a result, if you're hunting for a multi-bagger, we think you'd have more luck elsewhere.

Since virtually every company faces some risks, it's worth knowing what they are, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for NorthWestern (of which 1 can't be ignored!) that you should know about.

For those who like to invest in solid companies, check out this free list of companies with solid balance sheets and high returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if NorthWestern Energy Group might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.