ZTOE.F Stock Overview

Provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. More details

ZTOE.F fundamental analysis
Snowflake Score
Valuation	4/6
Future Growth	2/6
Past Performance	3/6
Financial Health	5/6
Dividends	3/6

Rewards

Trading at 63.8% below our estimate of its fair value

Earnings are forecast to grow 10.23% per year

Earnings grew by 10.3% over the past year

Risk Analysis

Shares are highly illiquid

Community vs My Fair Value

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ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Competitors

Price History & Performance

Summary of share price highs, lows and changes for ZTO Express (Cayman)
Historical stock prices
Current Share Price	US$17.00
52 Week High	US$18.05
52 Week Low	US$17.00
Beta	-0.13
1 Month Change	n/a
3 Month Change	n/a
1 Year Change	n/a
3 Year Change	n/a
5 Year Change	n/a
Change since IPO	-5.82%

Recent News & Updates

No updates

Recent updates

No updates

Shareholder Returns

	ZTOE.F	US Logistics	US Market
7D	-5.8%	-3.9%	-1.4%
1Y	n/a	-21.4%	10.5%

Return vs Industry: Insufficient data to determine how ZTOE.F performed against the US Logistics industry.

Return vs Market: Insufficient data to determine how ZTOE.F performed against the US Market.

Price Volatility

Is ZTOE.F's price volatile compared to industry and market?
ZTOE.F volatility
ZTOE.F Average Weekly Movement	n/a
Logistics Industry Average Movement	7.5%
Market Average Movement	8.0%
10% most volatile stocks in US Market	16.9%
10% least volatile stocks in US Market	4.1%

Stable Share Price: ZTOE.F's share price has been volatile over the past 3 months compared to the US market.

Volatility Over Time: Insufficient data to determine ZTOE.F's volatility change over the past year.

About the Company

Founded	Employees	CEO	Website
2002	24,477	Meisong Lai	www.zto.com

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. provides express delivery and other value-added logistics services in the People's Republic of China. It offers freight forwarding services; and delivery services for e-commerce merchants and traditional merchants, and other express service users. The company was founded in 2002 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. Fundamentals Summary

How do ZTO Express (Cayman)'s earnings and revenue compare to its market cap?
ZTOE.F fundamental statistics
Market cap	US$13.59b
Earnings (TTM)	US$1.30b
Revenue (TTM)	US$6.28b

10.4x

P/E Ratio

2.2x

P/S Ratio

Is ZTOE.F overvalued?

See Fair Value and valuation analysis

Earnings & Revenue

Key profitability statistics from the latest earnings report (TTM)
ZTOE.F income statement (TTM)
Revenue	CN¥45.21b
Cost of Revenue	CN¥31.81b
Gross Profit	CN¥13.40b
Other Expenses	CN¥4.02b
Earnings	CN¥9.38b

Last Reported Earnings

Mar 31, 2025

Next Earnings Date

n/a

Earnings per share (EPS)	11.76
Gross Margin	29.65%
Net Profit Margin	20.76%
Debt/Equity Ratio	26.3%

How did ZTOE.F perform over the long term?

See historical performance and comparison

Dividends

4.1%

Current Dividend Yield

44%

Payout Ratio

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/05/22 20:20
End of Day Share Price	2025/05/22 00:00
Earnings	2025/03/31
Annual Earnings	2024/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. is covered by 37 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Yifan Zhou	BOCI Research Ltd.
Yiqun Chen	BOCI Research Ltd.
Fan Tso	BofA Global Research