Capital A Berhad Valuation

Is AIAB.F undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of AIAB.F when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: AIAB.F ($0.18) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($1.38)

Significantly Below Fair Value: AIAB.F is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for AIAB.F?

Key metric: As AIAB.F is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for AIAB.F. This is calculated by dividing AIAB.F's market cap by their current revenue.
What is AIAB.F's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.2x
SalesRM 19.34b
Market CapRM 4.25b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does AIAB.F's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for AIAB.F vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average0.7x
SNCY Sun Country Airlines Holdings
0.7x8.3%US$788.3m
ULCC Frontier Group Holdings
0.4x12.7%US$1.5b
ALGT Allegiant Travel
0.6x10.5%US$1.4b
BLDE Blade Air Mobility
1x7.0%US$247.5m
AIAB.F Capital A Berhad
0.2x3.4%US$4.3b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: AIAB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the peer average (0.7x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does AIAB.F's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Airlines Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SAVE Spirit Airlines
0.02x-0.6%US$118.28m
MESA Mesa Air Group
0.07xn/aUS$35.38m
TAWN.F Thai Airways International
0.004xn/aUS$18.77m
SOAR Volato Group
0.08xn/aUS$5.98m
AIAB.F 0.2xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: AIAB.F is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.2x) compared to the North American Airlines industry average (0.5x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is AIAB.F's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

AIAB.F PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.2x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate AIAB.F's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst AIAB.F forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$0.18
US$0.23
+26.5%
27.9%US$0.39US$0.14n/a10
Nov ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
27.9%US$0.39US$0.14n/a10
Oct ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
27.9%US$0.39US$0.14n/a10
Sep ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
27.9%US$0.39US$0.14n/a10
Aug ’25n/a
US$0.23
0%
31.6%US$0.36US$0.13n/a10
Jul ’25US$0.17
US$0.23
+34.5%
31.6%US$0.36US$0.13n/a10
Jun ’25US$0.17
US$0.23
+34.5%
31.6%US$0.36US$0.13n/a10
May ’25US$0.12
US$0.20
+64.8%
31.9%US$0.35US$0.13n/a9
Apr ’25US$0.13
US$0.20
+48.5%
21.9%US$0.30US$0.16n/a9
Mar ’25US$0.15
US$0.20
+33.1%
22.5%US$0.30US$0.16n/a9
Feb ’25US$0.12
US$0.21
+73.2%
20.9%US$0.30US$0.17n/a9
Jan ’25US$0.15
US$0.21
+38.6%
20.9%US$0.30US$0.17n/a9
Dec ’24US$0.17
US$0.21
+22.3%
20.9%US$0.30US$0.17n/a9
Nov ’24n/a
US$0.21
0%
19.5%US$0.30US$0.17n/a9
Oct ’24US$0.17
US$0.22
+27.8%
19.5%US$0.31US$0.17n/a9
Sep ’24n/a
US$0.22
0%
19.2%US$0.31US$0.17n/a9
Aug ’24US$0.14
US$0.19
+37.0%
27.1%US$0.27US$0.086n/a8
Jul ’24n/a
US$0.19
0%
27.1%US$0.27US$0.086US$0.178
Jun ’24n/a
US$0.18
0%
28.5%US$0.27US$0.087US$0.179
May ’24US$0.14
US$0.18
+25.6%
26.3%US$0.29US$0.091US$0.1212
Apr ’24US$0.15
US$0.18
+17.3%
26.3%US$0.29US$0.091US$0.1312
Mar ’24n/a
US$0.16
0%
29.1%US$0.28US$0.089US$0.1513
Feb ’24US$0.16
US$0.16
+2.3%
31.4%US$0.29US$0.094US$0.1213
Jan ’24US$0.11
US$0.15
+40.3%
31.7%US$0.28US$0.091US$0.1513
Dec ’23US$0.10
US$0.16
+58.8%
31.1%US$0.28US$0.091US$0.1713
Nov ’23US$0.10
US$0.16
+49.7%
32.0%US$0.27US$0.087n/a13

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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