Uber (UBER): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Pullback

Uber Technologies (UBER) has been on a choppy ride lately, with the stock slipping around 3 % over the past month and roughly 17 % in the past 3 months despite solid long term returns.

See our latest analysis for Uber Technologies.

The recent pullback comes after a strong run, with the share price still up solidly year to date and backed by a robust 1 year and 3 year total shareholder return. This suggests long term momentum rather than a structural breakdown in the story.

If Uber’s moves have you thinking more broadly about transportation and mobility, this could be a good moment to explore other auto manufacturers that might complement your watchlist.

With shares down from recent highs yet still boasting strong multiyear returns and a sizable implied upside to analyst targets, the key question now is simple: Is Uber undervalued, or is its future growth already fully priced in?

Most Popular Narrative: 27.7% Undervalued

With Uber’s last close at $80.97 against a most popular narrative fair value near $112, the story assumes today’s pullback masks much stronger long term economics.

Significant investments and accelerating partnerships in autonomous vehicles (AVs) and electrification (with Waymo, Lucid, Nuro, etc.) position Uber to benefit from secular industry shifts; successful AV commercialization could transform long term cost structures and profitability, boosting future earnings potential.

Progressive scaling of high margin ancillary revenue streams such as advertising, data/tech platform externalization, and Uber One loyalty, are supporting margin expansion and enhancing long term earning power.

Read the complete narrative.

Curious how accelerating revenue, changing profit margins, and a richer earnings multiple all come together in one bold valuation call? The full narrative explains the specific growth runway, margin reset, and future earnings power that underpin that higher fair value, and how they differ from what the market is currently pricing in.

Result: Fair Value of $112.06 (UNDERVALUED)

Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.

However, rising regulatory scrutiny and uncertain autonomous vehicle economics could pressure Uber’s margins and delay the profitability needed to justify that higher fair value.

Find out about the key risks to this Uber Technologies narrative.

Build Your Own Uber Technologies Narrative

If you want to dig into the numbers yourself or take a different view, you can easily build a custom narrative in just minutes with Do it your way.

A great starting point for your Uber Technologies research is our analysis highlighting 5 key rewards and 2 important warning signs that could impact your investment decision.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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