Surf Air Mobility Inc.

NYSE:SRFM Stock Report

Market Cap: US$104.4m

Surf Air Mobility Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Surf Air Mobility is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 64% and 27.1% per annum respectively while EPS is expected to grow by 73.6% per annum.

Key information

64.0%

Earnings growth rate

73.62%

EPS growth rate

Airlines earnings growth18.5%
Revenue growth rate27.1%
Future return on equityn/a
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated30 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update Jun 25

SRFM: Reaffirmed 2026 Outlook And Q2 Guidance Will Support Long Term Upside

Analysts have reduced their price target on Surf Air Mobility from $2.25 to $1.50, citing updated modeling following Q1 results that included a bottom-line loss, reiterated FY26 revenue expectations, improved bottom-line guidance, and a new Q2 FY26 outlook. What’s in the News for Surf Air Mobility Surf Air Mobility scheduled its annual meeting for July 24, 2026, with stockholders set to vote on a proposed reverse stock split of common stock at a ratio between 2:1 and 6:1.
Narrative Update Jun 05

SRFM: Reaffirmed 2026 Outlook And SurfOS Execution Will Support Long Term Upside

Narrative Update Surf Air Mobility’s analyst price target has been reduced from $2.25 to $1.50, as analysts factor in the latest Q1 bottom line loss, reiterated FY26 revenue expectations, improved longer term profitability guidance, and new Q2/26 outlook details. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a mixed but engaged view of Surf Air Mobility, with the lower price target signaling more conservative expectations while still recognizing areas where the company is executing on its plan.
Narrative Update May 15

SRFM: Reaffirmed 2026 Revenue Outlook Will Support Long Term Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed Surf Air Mobility's implied fair value from $7.88 to $5.31. Alongside this, price targets were cut from $3.50 to $2.25 and then to $1.50.
Narrative Update Apr 28

SRFM: On Demand Charter Mix And Hawaii Electrification Will Support Future Upside

Analysts have trimmed Surf Air Mobility's price target to $2.25 from $3.50, citing a top-line result that came in slightly ahead of estimates, with revenue supported by 7.5% quarter-over-quarter growth in On Demand charter services driven by higher demand for larger aircraft and international flights. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts trimming the price target to US$2.25 from US$3.50 signals a more cautious stance on Surf Air Mobility's risk and reward profile, even with revenue tracking close to management guidance.
Seeking Alpha Apr 21

Surf Air Mobility Could Transform Into A Growth Story This Year

Summary Surf Air Mobility Inc. is rated a cautious Buy, reflecting operational improvements, insider buying, and potential for significant capital gains if funding and execution persist. SRFM's 2025 saw revenue decline 15% to $106.6M, heavy dilution, and ongoing losses, but route rationalization and cost cuts are expected to improve efficiency. Management guides for 2026 revenue of $128–138M (20–30% growth) and an adjusted EBITDA loss of $40–50M, with SurfOS and On Demand charter as key growth drivers. Liquidity risks remain acute, but ongoing insider purchases and new financing suggest continued access to capital; electrification and software remain long-term wild cards. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update Apr 12

SRFM: On Demand Charter Strength And Hawaii Electric Service Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts have reduced their 12 month price target for Surf Air Mobility to $2.25 from $3.50, citing revenue that aligned with guidance, a higher assumed future P/E multiple, and segment level strength in On Demand charter services following a 7.5% quarter over quarter revenue contribution from larger aircraft and international routes. Analyst Commentary Bearish analysts are signaling a more cautious stance on Surf Air Mobility by trimming their 12 month price targets, even as recent results aligned with management guidance and slightly exceeded top line estimates.
Narrative Update Mar 29

SRFM: Future Hawaii Electric Service And Software Platform Will Support Upside Potential

Analysts cut their price target on Surf Air Mobility to $2.25 from $3.50, pointing to revenue that was slightly ahead of expectations and supported by stronger On Demand charter performance. They also adjusted assumptions for discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E in their models.
Narrative Update Mar 15

SRFM: Future Hawaii Electric Service And SurfOS Progress Will Drive Upside

Analysts have lowered their price target for Surf Air Mobility from $3.75 to $2.25, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E expectations. What's in the News New 2026 earnings outlook: Surf Air Mobility issued revenue guidance of US$24 million to US$26 million for the first quarter of 2026 and US$128 million to US$138 million for full year 2026, with first quarter guidance excluding any SurfOS contribution (Corporate Guidance).
Analysis Article Feb 12

Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s (NYSE:SRFM) 32% Cheaper Price Remains In Tune With Revenues

Surf Air Mobility Inc. ( NYSE:SRFM ) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough...
Analysis Article Oct 07

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE:SRFM) With Shares Advancing 29%

Surf Air Mobility Inc. ( NYSE:SRFM ) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 29% in...
Analysis Article Aug 13

Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s (NYSE:SRFM) 52% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

The Surf Air Mobility Inc. ( NYSE:SRFM ) share price has softened a substantial 52% over the previous 30 days, handing...
Analysis Article Jun 22

More Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For Surf Air Mobility Inc.'s (NYSE:SRFM) Shares After Tumbling 26%

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Surf Air Mobility Inc. ( NYSE:SRFM ) shares are down a considerable 26% in the...
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New Narrative Apr 10

Electrification And Palantir Software Will Lower Airline Costs

Effective route rationalization and OS implementation are set to enhance revenue, expand margins, and drive earnings growth.
Analysis Article Feb 19

Revenues Not Telling The Story For Surf Air Mobility Inc. (NYSE:SRFM) After Shares Rise 37%

Despite an already strong run, Surf Air Mobility Inc. ( NYSE:SRFM ) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 37% in...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:SRFM - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/2028218-20-27-192
12/31/2027164-44-29-235
12/31/2026129-58-41-365
3/31/2026109-112-71-61N/A
12/31/2025107-111-73-64N/A
9/30/2025108-72-85-69N/A
6/30/2025107-57-78-62N/A
3/31/2025112-56-73-57N/A
12/31/2024119-75-68-54N/A
9/30/2024118-187-50-50N/A
6/30/2024112-250-72-62N/A
3/31/202486-267-77-68N/A
12/31/202361-251-72-64N/A
9/30/202340-164-63-51N/A
6/30/202323-110-34-33N/A
3/31/202321-84-32-31N/A
12/31/202220-74-28-28N/A
9/30/202219-60-29-29N/A
6/30/202218-48-28-28N/A
3/31/202215-38-24-24N/A
12/31/202112-36-24-24N/A
12/31/20208-23-9-9N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: SRFM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Earnings vs Market: SRFM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

High Growth Earnings: SRFM is forecast to remain unprofitable over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: SRFM's revenue (27.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (12.7% per year).

High Growth Revenue: SRFM's revenue (27.1% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: Insufficient data to determine if SRFM's Return on Equity is forecast to be high in 3 years time


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/05 21:14
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/02 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Surf Air Mobility Inc. is covered by 7 analysts. 5 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Brian KinstlingerAlliance Global Partners
David VernonBernstein
George GianarikasCanaccord Genuity