Stock Analysis

Is Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE:R) Potentially Undervalued?

NYSE:R
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Ryder System, Inc. (NYSE:R), might not be a large cap stock, but it saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the NYSE. With many analysts covering the mid-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, could the stock still be trading at a relatively cheap price? Let’s examine Ryder System’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

View our latest analysis for Ryder System

What is Ryder System worth?

The stock is currently trading at US$69.90 on the share market, which means it is overvalued by 31% compared to my intrinsic value of $53.55. This means that the opportunity to buy Ryder System at a good price has disappeared! But, is there another opportunity to buy low in the future? Given that Ryder System’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us another chance to buy in the future. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

What kind of growth will Ryder System generate?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:R Earnings and Revenue Growth May 2nd 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Though in the case of Ryder System, it is expected to deliver a relatively unexciting earnings growth of 4.1%, which doesn’t help build up its investment thesis. Growth doesn’t appear to be a main reason for a buy decision for Ryder System, at least in the near term.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? R’s future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe R should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on R for some time, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Ryder System as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. To help with this, we've discovered 2 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Ryder System.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.