Stock Analysis

Why Macquarie Infrastructure Corporation (NYSE:MIC) Could Be Worth Watching

NYSE:MIC
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While Macquarie Infrastructure Corporation (NYSE:MIC) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it saw a decent share price growth in the teens level on the NYSE over the last few months. As a US$3.1b market cap stock, it seems odd Macquarie Infrastructure is not more well-covered by analysts. However, this is not necessarily a bad thing given that there are less eyes on the stock to push it closer to fair value. Is there still an opportunity to buy? Let’s examine Macquarie Infrastructure’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Macquarie Infrastructure

What's the opportunity in Macquarie Infrastructure?

The stock seems fairly valued at the moment according to my valuation model. It’s trading around 16% below my intrinsic value, which means if you buy Macquarie Infrastructure today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe the company’s true value is $41.62, then there’s not much of an upside to gain from mispricing. So, is there another chance to buy low in the future? Given that Macquarie Infrastructure’s share is fairly volatile (i.e. its price movements are magnified relative to the rest of the market) this could mean the price can sink lower, giving us an opportunity to buy later on. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for share price volatility.

Can we expect growth from Macquarie Infrastructure?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:MIC Earnings and Revenue Growth June 1st 2021

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. With revenues expected to grow by 37% over the next couple of years, the future seems bright for Macquarie Infrastructure. If the level of expenses is able to be maintained, it looks like higher cash flow is on the cards for the stock, which should feed into a higher share valuation.

What this means for you:

Are you a shareholder? MIC’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading around its fair value. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at the stock? Will you have enough conviction to buy should the price fluctuates below the true value?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping tabs on MIC, now may not be the most optimal time to buy, given it is trading around its fair value. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for the company, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

With this in mind, we wouldn't consider investing in a stock unless we had a thorough understanding of the risks. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Macquarie Infrastructure you should be aware of.

If you are no longer interested in Macquarie Infrastructure, you can use our free platform to see our list of over 50 other stocks with a high growth potential.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About NYSE:MIC

Macquarie Infrastructure Holdings

Macquarie Infrastructure Holdings, LLC, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an energy company that processes and distributes gas, and provides related services to corporations, government agencies, and individual customers.

Mediocre balance sheet and overvalued.