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Take Care Before Jumping Onto MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:YGMZ) Even Though It's 26% Cheaper
The MingZhu Logistics Holdings Limited (NASDAQ:YGMZ) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.
Even after such a large drop in price, you could still be forgiven for feeling indifferent about MingZhu Logistics Holdings' P/S ratio of 1.4x, since the median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio for the Transportation industry in the United States is also close to 1.3x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for MingZhu Logistics Holdings
How MingZhu Logistics Holdings Has Been Performing
For instance, MingZhu Logistics Holdings' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on MingZhu Logistics Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For MingZhu Logistics Holdings?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like MingZhu Logistics Holdings' is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 55%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 133% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that recent medium-term revenue trajectory with the industry's one-year growth forecast of 8.6% shows it's noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that MingZhu Logistics Holdings' P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Following MingZhu Logistics Holdings' share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
To our surprise, MingZhu Logistics Holdings revealed its three-year revenue trends aren't contributing to its P/S as much as we would have predicted, given they look better than current industry expectations. There could be some unobserved threats to revenue preventing the P/S ratio from matching this positive performance. At least the risk of a price drop looks to be subdued if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see some volatility.
You need to take note of risks, for example - MingZhu Logistics Holdings has 4 warning signs (and 2 which are significant) we think you should know about.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqCM:YGMZ
MingZhu Logistics Holdings
Through its subsidiaries, provides trucking services to the transportation industry in the People’s Republic of China.
Slight risk with mediocre balance sheet.
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