Stock Analysis

When Should You Buy Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ:SBLK)?

NasdaqGS:SBLK
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Star Bulk Carriers Corp. (NASDAQ:SBLK), is not the largest company out there, but it saw significant share price movement during recent months on the NASDAQGS, rising to highs of US$23.69 and falling to the lows of US$14.70. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Star Bulk Carriers' current trading price of US$14.70 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Star Bulk Carriers’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

View our latest analysis for Star Bulk Carriers

Is Star Bulk Carriers Still Cheap?

Star Bulk Carriers is currently expensive based on our price multiple model, where we look at the company's price-to-earnings ratio in comparison to the industry average. We’ve used the price-to-earnings ratio in this instance because there’s not enough visibility to forecast its cash flows. The stock’s ratio of 5.74x is currently well-above the industry average of 4.04x, meaning that it is trading at a more expensive price relative to its peers. Another thing to keep in mind is that Star Bulk Carriers’s share price is quite stable relative to the rest of the market, as indicated by its low beta. This means that if you believe the current share price should move towards the levels of its industry peers over time, a low beta could suggest it is not likely to reach that level anytime soon, and once it’s there, it may be hard for it to fall back down into an attractive buying range again.

What does the future of Star Bulk Carriers look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NasdaqGS:SBLK Earnings and Revenue Growth December 31st 2024

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Although value investors would argue that it’s the intrinsic value relative to the price that matter the most, a more compelling investment thesis would be high growth potential at a cheap price. Star Bulk Carriers' earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 24%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has well and truly priced in SBLK’s positive outlook, with shares trading above industry price multiples. However, this brings up another question – is now the right time to sell? If you believe SBLK should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards the industry PE ratio can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on SBLK for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its industry peers, which means it is likely that there is no more upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for SBLK, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Star Bulk Carriers at this point in time. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Star Bulk Carriers you should know about.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.