Pony AI Valuation

Is PONY undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

0/6

Valuation Score 0/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Sales vs Peers
Price-To-Sales vs Industry
Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PONY when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PONY's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate PONY's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PONY?

Key metric: As PONY is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for PONY. This is calculated by dividing PONY's market cap by their current revenue.
What is PONY's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio	49.8x
Sales	US$84.33m
Market Cap	US$4.20b

PONY key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	61.1x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	-40.8x
PEG Ratio	n/a

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does PONY's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for PONY vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PS	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	1.1x
RXO RXO	1.2x	22.4%	US$5.0b
SNDR Schneider National	1.1x	5.4%	US$5.8b
LSTR Landstar System	1.4x	7.3%	US$6.6b
R Ryder System	0.6x	7.8%	US$7.2b
PONY Pony AI	49.8x	n/a	US$4.2b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: PONY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.8x) compared to the peer average (1.1x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does PONY's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

11 Companies	Price / Sales	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
CAR Avis Budget Group	0.3x	1.6%	US$3.77b
HTZ Hertz Global Holdings	0.2x	1.6%	US$1.39b
DSKE Daseke	0.2x	n/a	US$391.76m
USX U.S. Xpress Enterprises	0.2x	3.1%	US$322.82m

11 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: PONY is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (49.8x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (1.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PONY's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PONY PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio	49.8x
Fair PS Ratio	n/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate PONY's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.