Landstar System, Inc.

NasdaqGS:LSTR Stock Report

Market Cap: US$6.1b

Landstar System Valuation

Is LSTR undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LSTR when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LSTR ($172.64) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($237.07)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LSTR is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LSTR?

Key metric: As LSTR is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LSTR. This is calculated by dividing LSTR's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LSTR's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio29.4x
EarningsUS$207.74m
Market CapUS$6.10b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LSTR's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LSTR vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average29.6x
SNDR Schneider National
45.3x48.0%US$5.1b
R Ryder System
13.8x12.7%US$6.6b
UHAL U-Haul Holding
28.9xn/aUS$12.9b
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services
30.2x16.2%US$17.2b
LSTR Landstar System
29.4x12.5%US$6.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LSTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the peer average (24.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LSTR's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Transportation Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
LSTR 29.4xIndustry Avg. 28.4xNo. of Companies4PE01224364860+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LSTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the US Transportation industry average (28.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LSTR's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LSTR PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio29.4x
Fair PE Ratio16x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LSTR is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (29.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LSTR forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$172.64
US$170.40
-1.3%
7.2%US$186.00US$143.00n/a13
Dec ’25US$185.92
US$170.71
-8.2%
7.5%US$188.00US$143.00n/a13
Nov ’25US$177.20
US$171.73
-3.1%
7.8%US$189.00US$143.00n/a14
Oct ’25US$186.06
US$175.09
-5.9%
7.5%US$195.00US$145.00n/a14
Sep ’25US$182.56
US$174.73
-4.3%
7.7%US$195.00US$145.00n/a14
Aug ’25US$186.80
US$176.39
-5.6%
8.4%US$198.43US$145.00n/a14
Jul ’25US$183.40
US$177.00
-3.5%
8.3%US$205.00US$147.00n/a14
Jun ’25US$182.03
US$176.14
-3.2%
8.7%US$205.00US$147.00n/a14
May ’25US$172.34
US$172.86
+0.3%
7.9%US$200.00US$147.00n/a14
Apr ’25US$189.82
US$173.85
-8.4%
9.6%US$201.00US$147.00n/a13
Mar ’25US$186.74
US$174.64
-6.5%
9.2%US$201.00US$147.00n/a14
Feb ’25US$191.01
US$171.21
-10.4%
8.2%US$201.00US$148.00n/a14
Jan ’25US$193.65
US$171.71
-11.3%
7.2%US$190.00US$145.00n/a14
Dec ’24US$176.35
US$170.62
-3.3%
7.1%US$190.00US$145.00US$185.9213
Nov ’24US$165.77
US$173.38
+4.6%
7.7%US$195.00US$145.00US$177.2013
Oct ’24US$176.94
US$188.85
+6.7%
8.8%US$210.00US$150.00US$186.0613
Sep ’24US$194.75
US$190.50
-2.2%
9.3%US$215.00US$150.00US$182.5614
Aug ’24US$200.86
US$187.38
-6.7%
9.6%US$215.00US$150.00US$186.8013
Jul ’24US$192.54
US$173.50
-9.9%
7.9%US$200.00US$146.00US$183.4012
Jun ’24US$179.54
US$170.92
-4.8%
8.0%US$200.00US$146.00US$182.0312
May ’24US$178.51
US$173.92
-2.6%
8.0%US$200.00US$146.00US$172.3413
Apr ’24US$179.26
US$175.54
-2.1%
9.0%US$200.00US$140.00US$189.8213
Mar ’24US$180.35
US$175.54
-2.7%
9.0%US$200.00US$140.00US$186.7413
Feb ’24US$178.92
US$157.36
-12.0%
8.3%US$182.00US$137.00US$191.0111
Jan ’24US$162.90
US$152.08
-6.6%
10.4%US$182.00US$120.00US$193.6512
Dec ’23US$171.91
US$151.92
-11.6%
10.5%US$182.00US$120.00US$176.3512

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


Discover undervalued companies

Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/22 02:45
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/28
Annual Earnings2023/12/30

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Landstar System, Inc. is covered by 34 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Garrett HollandBaird
Christopher KuhnBenchmark Company
Matthew BrooklierBuckingham Research Group Inc.