Mesa Air Group, Inc.

NasdaqCM:MESA Stock Report

Market Cap: US$35.7m

Mesa Air Group Valuation

Is MESA undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of MESA when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MESA's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate MESA's fair value for valuation analysis.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for MESA?

Key metric: As MESA is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for MESA. This is calculated by dividing MESA's market cap by their current revenue.
What is MESA's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.07x
SalesUS$475.52m
Market CapUS$35.74m

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does MESA's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for MESA vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.3x
SRFM Surf Air Mobility
0.2x31.9%US$30.9m
FLAI Flewber Global
16.4xn/aUS$55.5m
HRBR Harbor Diversified
0.3xn/aUS$58.9m
FLYX flyExclusive
0.1x28.3%US$174.2m
MESA Mesa Air Group
0.07xn/aUS$35.7m

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: MESA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the peer average (4.3x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does MESA's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Airlines Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.5x7.5%
MESA Mesa Air Group
0.07xn/aUS$35.74m
SAVE.Q Spirit Airlines
0.003x2.9%US$16.44m
SOAR Volato Group
0.1xn/aUS$13.88m
MESA 0.1xIndustry Avg. 0.5xNo. of Companies7PS00.40.81.21.62+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.0.5x18.3%
MESA Mesa Air Group
0.07xn/aUS$35.74m
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: MESA is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.1x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (0.6x).


Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is MESA's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

MESA PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.07x
Fair PS Ration/a

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate MESA's Price-To-Sales Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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