Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Lyft, Inc. (NASDAQ:LYFT) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
When Is Debt Dangerous?
Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Lyft
How Much Debt Does Lyft Carry?
As you can see below, Lyft had US$823.3m of debt, at March 2023, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds US$1.75b in cash, so it actually has US$931.5m net cash.
A Look At Lyft's Liabilities
Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Lyft had liabilities of US$3.14b due within 12 months and liabilities of US$1.01b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of US$1.75b and US$321.1m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by US$2.07b.
This deficit isn't so bad because Lyft is worth US$4.10b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. While it does have liabilities worth noting, Lyft also has more cash than debt, so we're pretty confident it can manage its debt safely. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Lyft's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
In the last year Lyft wasn't profitable at an EBIT level, but managed to grow its revenue by 21%, to US$4.2b. With any luck the company will be able to grow its way to profitability.
So How Risky Is Lyft?
We have no doubt that loss making companies are, in general, riskier than profitable ones. And in the last year Lyft had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss, truth be told. And over the same period it saw negative free cash outflow of US$290m and booked a US$1.6b accounting loss. But the saving grace is the US$931.5m on the balance sheet. That means it could keep spending at its current rate for more than two years. With very solid revenue growth in the last year, Lyft may be on a path to profitability. Pre-profit companies are often risky, but they can also offer great rewards. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 2 warning signs with Lyft , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About NasdaqGS:LYFT
Lyft
Operates a peer-to-peer marketplace for on-demand ridesharing in the United States and Canada.
Undervalued with reasonable growth potential.