Stock Analysis

Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks

NasdaqGS:GOGL
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When close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") above 19x, you may consider Golden Ocean Group Limited (NASDAQ:GOGL) as an attractive investment with its 10.5x P/E ratio. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Recent times have been pleasing for Golden Ocean Group as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Golden Ocean Group

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:GOGL Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry October 17th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think Golden Ocean Group's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Any Growth For Golden Ocean Group?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Golden Ocean Group would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.2% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, lamentably EPS has fallen 9.3% in aggregate from three years ago, which is disappointing. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the six analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 17% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 10% per annum, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that Golden Ocean Group is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.

The Bottom Line On Golden Ocean Group's P/E

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Golden Ocean Group currently trades on a much lower than expected P/E since its forecast growth is higher than the wider market. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. At least price risks look to be very low, but investors seem to think future earnings could see a lot of volatility.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Golden Ocean Group that you should be aware of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.