Lumen Technologies, Inc.

NYSE:LUMN Stock Report

Market Cap: US$5.1b

Lumen Technologies Valuation

Is LUMN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LUMN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LUMN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate LUMN's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LUMN?

Key metric: As LUMN is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for LUMN. This is calculated by dividing LUMN's market cap by their current revenue.
What is LUMN's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio0.4x
SalesUS$13.30b
Market CapUS$5.08b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does LUMN's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for LUMN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average4.9x
LBTY.A Liberty Global
0.5x-15.8%US$4.2b
IRDM Iridium Communications
4x4.4%US$3.2b
CCOI Cogent Communications Holdings
3.6x7.2%US$3.5b
GSAT Globalstar
11.6x11.9%US$3.0b
LUMN Lumen Technologies
0.4x-2.0%US$5.1b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: LUMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the peer average (4.9x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does LUMN's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the US Telecom Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
IQST iQSTEL
0.2xn/aUS$41.59m
DTGI Digerati Technologies
0.05xn/aUS$1.85m
CRGE.Q Charge Enterprises
0.002xn/aUS$1.46m
STRY.Q Starry Group Holdings
0.002xn/aUS$53.22k
LUMN 0.4xIndustry Avg. 1.4xNo. of Companies7PS00.81.62.43.24+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: LUMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the US Telecom industry average (1.4x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LUMN's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LUMN PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio0.4x
Fair PS Ratio0.6x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: LUMN is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (0.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst LUMN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$5.00
US$5.37
+7.4%
27.3%US$8.00US$2.00n/a11
Jan ’26US$5.31
US$5.27
-0.8%
28.5%US$8.00US$2.00n/a10
Dec ’25US$7.34
US$5.24
-28.6%
29.0%US$8.00US$2.00n/a10
Nov ’25US$7.00
US$5.04
-28.0%
28.9%US$7.00US$2.00n/a10
Oct ’25US$6.71
US$4.77
-28.9%
36.9%US$7.00US$1.75n/a10
Sep ’25US$5.25
US$4.77
-9.2%
36.9%US$7.00US$1.75n/a10
Aug ’25US$3.32
US$1.55
-53.3%
28.1%US$2.50US$1.00n/a9
Jul ’25US$1.11
US$1.55
+39.6%
28.1%US$2.50US$1.00n/a9
Jun ’25US$1.29
US$1.55
+20.2%
28.1%US$2.50US$1.00n/a9
May ’25US$1.21
US$1.57
+29.8%
24.6%US$2.50US$1.00n/a10
Apr ’25US$1.46
US$1.72
+17.6%
39.4%US$3.50US$1.00n/a9
Mar ’25US$1.62
US$1.77
+9.0%
41.2%US$3.50US$1.00n/a10
Feb ’25US$1.28
US$1.92
+49.6%
58.4%US$5.00US$1.00n/a10
Jan ’25US$1.83
US$1.92
+4.6%
58.4%US$5.00US$1.00US$5.3110
Dec ’24US$1.48
US$1.95
+31.8%
56.5%US$5.00US$1.00US$7.3410
Nov ’24US$0.98
US$2.20
+124.5%
49.8%US$5.00US$1.00US$7.0010
Oct ’24US$1.42
US$2.78
+95.4%
36.2%US$5.00US$1.50US$6.7110
Sep ’24US$1.58
US$2.94
+85.8%
33.4%US$5.00US$1.50US$5.2510
Aug ’24US$2.03
US$3.19
+56.9%
28.7%US$5.00US$2.00US$3.3210
Jul ’24US$2.26
US$3.44
+52.3%
34.5%US$6.00US$2.00US$1.1111
Jun ’24US$1.95
US$3.67
+88.1%
33.4%US$6.00US$2.00US$1.2911
May ’24US$2.38
US$4.43
+85.9%
22.4%US$6.00US$2.50US$1.2112
Apr ’24US$2.65
US$5.28
+99.1%
39.6%US$10.00US$2.50US$1.4612
Mar ’24US$3.23
US$5.57
+72.3%
34.4%US$10.00US$3.50US$1.6212
Feb ’24US$5.36
US$7.00
+30.7%
33.7%US$14.00US$5.00US$1.2812
Jan ’24US$5.22
US$7.40
+41.8%
30.3%US$14.00US$5.00US$1.8312
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 11 Analysts
US$5.37
Fair Value
6.9% undervalued intrinsic discount
11
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/30 05:23
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/30 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Lumen Technologies, Inc. is covered by 41 analysts. 13 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullArgus Research Company
Christopher WattsAtlantic Equities LLP
Peter RhameyBMO Capital Markets Equity Research