Stock Analysis

IDT's (NYSE:IDT) Conservative Accounting Might Explain Soft Earnings

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NYSE:IDT

Investors were disappointed with the weak earnings posted by IDT Corporation (NYSE:IDT ). While the headline numbers were soft, we believe that investors might be missing some encouraging factors.

See our latest analysis for IDT

NYSE:IDT Earnings and Revenue History June 19th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against IDT's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

IDT has an accrual ratio of -0.30 for the year to April 2024. Therefore, its statutory earnings were very significantly less than its free cashflow. To wit, it produced free cash flow of US$55m during the period, dwarfing its reported profit of US$35.6m. IDT shareholders are no doubt pleased that free cash flow improved over the last twelve months. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of IDT.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

IDT's profit was reduced by unusual items worth US$7.2m in the last twelve months, and this helped it produce high cash conversion, as reflected by its unusual items. In a scenario where those unusual items included non-cash charges, we'd expect to see a strong accrual ratio, which is exactly what has happened in this case. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. We looked at thousands of listed companies and found that unusual items are very often one-off in nature. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. Assuming those unusual expenses don't come up again, we'd therefore expect IDT to produce a higher profit next year, all else being equal.

Our Take On IDT's Profit Performance

In conclusion, both IDT's accrual ratio and its unusual items suggest that its statutory earnings are probably reasonably conservative. After considering all this, we reckon IDT's statutory profit probably understates its earnings potential! If you'd like to know more about IDT as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. While conducting our analysis, we found that IDT has 1 warning sign and it would be unwise to ignore this.

After our examination into the nature of IDT's profit, we've come away optimistic for the company. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.