Nokia Oyj

NYSE:NOK Stock Report

Market Cap: US$71.8b

Nokia Oyj Future Growth

Future criteria checks 3/6

Nokia Oyj is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 25.3% and 4.7% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 24% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11.5% in 3 years.

Key information

25.3%

Earnings growth rate

23.97%

EPS growth rate

Communications earnings growth20.8%
Revenue growth rate4.7%
Future return on equity11.51%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated06 Jul 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Analysis Article • Jun 17

Nokia Oyj (NYSE:NOK) Stock Looks Expensive Even After Strong Share Price Momentum

Recent Share Performance and Business Scale Nokia Oyj (NYSE:NOK) trades at $13.98 and has moved slightly down 0.06% over the past day, while showing a 67% total return over the past 3 months and 2.5x over 3 years. The company reports annual revenue of $19.996b and net income of $774m, with year on year revenue growth of 4.6% and net income growth of 25.2%, highlighting the scale of its global network business. See our latest analysis for Nokia Oyj. Looking at the bigger picture, Nokia Oyj’s...
Seeking Alpha • Jun 11

Nokia: AI Is An Opportunity, Not A Miracle (Downgrade)

Summary Nokia (NOK) is downgraded to Sell as its stock price far exceeds intrinsic value amid macro uncertainty and elevated expectations. Despite strong AI-driven growth in Optical Networks and robust financials, NOK’s business fundamentals do not justify the recent valuation surge. Macro risks, including higher-for-longer interest rates and continued client CAPEX constraints, threaten NOK’s ability to capitalize on AI and infrastructure cycles. I am considering trimming my position soon after a ~250% gain, awaiting a more attractive entry point if valuation normalizes, unlocking capital for better opportunities. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 31

Formula 6G: Nokia In Pole Position With Strong Margins And Global Reach

Summary NOK is significantly undervalued with a short-term price target of $6.85 per share and long-term price target of $14.52 per share. Despite NOK's strong margins, regional diversification, and dominant 6G positioning, NOK appears undervalued with strong growth prospects. Aggressive cost-cutting measures and strategic regional diversification enhance NOK's profitability and resilience against geopolitical tensions. NOK's leadership in 6G R&D and robust IP portfolio position it to capture significant 6G market share, driving long-term value creation. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Mar 13

Nokia Better Positioned Than Ericsson To Face Uncertainty

Summary Ericsson's stock dropped around 15% in late January due to NEC Corp.'s potential acquisition of CSG Systems, possibly because investors see it as a challenge to Ericsson's telecom cloud ambitions. Thus, despite the Swedish company's leading position in mobile networks compared to Nokia, I do not consider it a buy. The Finnish company appears better positioned to face uncertainty as the telecom software industry consolidates and reciprocity tariffs potentially hit U.S. imports in April. Nokia's stronger profitability suggests more pricing flexibility to respond to increased competition while its revenue streams are more diversified. Thus, Nokia is a buy and Ericsson is a Hold. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 31

Why I'm Maintaining My Hold Rating Despite Its Strong Q4 Results

Summary Nokia's Q4 2024 earnings and revenues both beat estimates, leading to potential positive EPS revisions and a possible rating upgrade from C-. Operating margin hit 19.1%, the highest since 2015, driven by strong North American demand and a favorable product mix in network infrastructure. Nokia's strong cash generation suggests higher returns through dividends and buybacks. Despite headwinds, Nokia's strategic acquisition of Infinera and focus on hyperscalers and data centers bolster its growth outlook, maintaining a "hold" rating. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Jan 24

Nokia: Potentially Underestimated In 2025

Summary Nokia's stock might be undervalued with potential for growth due to new deals and partnerships in AI and 5G, making it a cautious Buy for 2025. Despite stagnant revenue and recent declines, Nokia's improving gross margins and strong cash flows suggest a financial turnaround is possible. The stock's extremely low valuation compared to sector medians presents a favorable risk-reward profile, with potential for significant price appreciation. Investors should watch for revenue growth in Network Infrastructure and Mobile Networks and continued margin improvements in upcoming earnings reports. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Seeking Alpha • Nov 20

Nokia: My Take On A Potential Upside For The Company

Summary Nokia has a strong asset and patent portfolio, but its competitive edge is limited, especially against rivals like Ericsson. Despite recent improvements, Nokia's sales have been declining, and its future growth prospects are uncertain. NOK stock's valuation is not compelling, with a target price of €3.2/share, making it a "Hold" due to numerous risks. Nokia's 3% yield and fundamentals are decent, but the competitive landscape and R&D demands pose significant challenges. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:NOK - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (EUR Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202823,5412,3232,4463,28917
12/31/202722,0881,8741,9762,76723
12/31/202620,8631,4591,6862,59124
3/31/202619,9967741,3731,964N/A
12/31/202519,8896291,4652,071N/A
9/30/202519,7488491,2881,904N/A
6/30/202519,2469091,4812,036N/A
3/31/202519,1661,1981,7872,316N/A
12/31/202419,2201,7042,0212,493N/A
9/30/202418,6528893,6924,155N/A
6/30/202419,0358872,6233,123N/A
3/31/202420,0078091,7692,301N/A
12/31/202321,1386356651,317N/A
9/30/202323,1713,848-68414N/A
6/30/202324,7044,12838708N/A
3/31/202325,1384,304354998N/A
12/31/202223,7614,1938731,474N/A
9/30/202223,8761,7278281,393N/A
6/30/202223,0331,6521,1531,731N/A
3/31/202222,4741,5321,2901,880N/A
12/31/202122,2021,6322,0652,625N/A
9/30/202122,341-1,7422,4783,018N/A
6/30/202122,236-1,8842,1942,702N/A
3/31/202122,015-2,1482,4452,929N/A
12/31/202021,852-2,5201,2801,759N/A
9/30/202022,2027401,9362,469N/A
6/30/202022,5946251,8932,520N/A
3/31/202023,1963556021,271N/A
12/31/201923,31514N/A390N/A
9/30/201923,280-359N/A187N/A
6/30/201923,052-570N/A-359N/A
3/31/201922,671-646N/A-277N/A
12/31/201822,563-554N/A360N/A
9/30/201822,346-1,128N/A964N/A
6/30/201822,388-1,194N/A302N/A
3/31/201822,693-1,351N/A2,174N/A
12/31/201723,147-1,473N/A1,811N/A
9/30/201723,153-430N/A331N/A
6/30/201723,549-357N/A1,310N/A
3/31/201723,508-600N/A-344N/A
12/31/201623,641-751N/A-1,454N/A
9/30/201620,593-912N/A-1,507N/A
6/30/201617,733-604N/A-1,239N/A
3/31/201615,075399N/A-881N/A
12/31/201512,5601,192N/A503N/A
9/30/201512,3991,018N/A270N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: NOK's forecast earnings growth (25.3% per year) is above the savings rate (3.5%).

Earnings vs Market: NOK's earnings (25.3% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the US market (18.2% per year).

High Growth Earnings: NOK's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: NOK's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (12.9% per year).

High Growth Revenue: NOK's revenue (4.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: NOK's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.5%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/09 04:47
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/09 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Nokia Oyj is covered by 60 analysts. 24 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
null nullABG Sundal Collier
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company