Motorola Solutions, Inc.

NYSE:MSI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$72.4b

Motorola Solutions Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Motorola Solutions is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 8.4% and 6.3% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 9.6% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 65.2% in 3 years.

Key information

8.4%

Earnings growth rate

9.57%

EPS growth rate

Communications earnings growth22.5%
Revenue growth rate6.3%
Future return on equity65.22%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated28 Apr 2026

Recent future growth updates

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Annual Report

Feb 16
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Annual Report

Recent updates

Motorola Solutions: Relationships, LTS Contracts And Predictable Refresh Cycles To Drive Growth

Apr 20

Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Annual Report

Feb 16
Analysts Have Made A Financial Statement On Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Annual Report

MSI: Public Safety AI Suites Will Support Future Upside Into 2026

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Motorola Solutions steady at $487.90, with only small tweaks to assumptions such as the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E informing this unchanged target. What's in the News Launch of Assist Suites, a role-based AI portfolio for public safety that pulls together 911 audio, video, radio transcripts and other data to support faster response, officer safety and more accurate reporting across dispatchers and field officers (Product-Related Announcement).

MSI: Government Deal Delays Will Support Future Upside Into 2026

Narrative Update Analysts have trimmed their price target on Motorola Solutions to US$495 from US$509, citing a Q3 beat, steady fiscal 2025 sales guidance, and potential upside from government shutdown related deal slippage into fiscal 2026. Analyst Commentary Recent research reflects a mix of confidence in Motorola Solutions' execution and some recalibration of expectations after the latest update.

MSI: Government Deal Delays Will Support Future Recurring Revenue Upside

Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Motorola Solutions slightly lower, to about $488 from roughly $494, as modest tweaks to discount rate and growth assumptions follow recent price target cuts that still factor in potential upside from government shutdown related deal timing. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary around Motorola Solutions reflects a mix of confidence in the business outlook and caution around valuation and deal timing.

MSI: Recurring Revenue Mix Will Drive Upside Despite Recent Price Target Trims

Analysts have trimmed their price target on Motorola Solutions by approximately $5 to about $494 per share. The revision reflects slightly higher discount rate assumptions and modest pressure on long term margins, while analysts remain encouraged by resilient revenue growth, recurring revenue mix, and potential upside from deferred government deals in 2026.

MSI: Fiscal 2025 Sales Stability And Recurring Revenue Will Drive Future Upside

Analysts have modestly lowered their price target on Motorola Solutions to $495 from $509, citing solid sales guidance but noting short-term booking slowdowns and persisting deal delays. Analyst Commentary Analyst sentiment toward Motorola Solutions remains mixed, reflecting both optimism about the company’s ongoing performance and caution regarding near-term challenges.

MSI: Fiscal 2025 Guidance And Recurring Revenue Will Drive Long-Term Upside

Analysts have slightly increased their price target for Motorola Solutions by less than $1 to approximately $498. They cite solid fundamentals, resilient government and recurring revenues, while also factoring in deal timing and valuation concerns.

MSI: Recurring Revenue And Government Contracts Will Drive Performance Amid Uncertainty

The consensus analyst price target for Motorola Solutions has decreased slightly, dropping from approximately $504 to $498. Analysts cite resilient fundamentals but flag near-term uncertainties such as deal timing and caution around elevated valuation levels.

Integrated Communications Will Transform Public Safety And Smart Cities

Despite near-term growth headwinds, analysts remain positive on Motorola Solutions’ long-term outlook and see current weakness as a potential buying opportunity, resulting in no change to the consensus price target of $503.75. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts see the recent growth slowdown as creating an attractive entry point for investors.

Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Jul 26
Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s (NYSE:MSI) Popularity With Investors Is Under Threat From Overpricing

Should You Be Adding Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) To Your Watchlist Today?

Jul 14
Should You Be Adding Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) To Your Watchlist Today?

Why Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) Could Be Worth Watching

Jun 20
Why Motorola Solutions, Inc. (NYSE:MSI) Could Be Worth Watching

These 4 Measures Indicate That Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

May 26
These 4 Measures Indicate That Motorola Solutions (NYSE:MSI) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

Motorola Solutions Will Benefit From Margin Increases And Focus On Crime Safety In U.S.

Feb 19

Motorola Solutions: Product Shifts And Increasing Global Urbanization Will Accelerate Growth

Feb 11

An Increasing Demand For Security Will Drive Growth For Motorola Solutions

Dec 18

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:MSI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202814,2712,8583,4133,7235
12/31/202713,4872,5793,1013,39512
12/31/202612,7002,3322,7963,06512
12/31/202511,6822,1542,5722,837N/A
9/27/202511,3132,1162,4142,651N/A
6/28/202511,0932,1162,3842,612N/A
3/29/202510,9562,0462,2712,519N/A
12/31/202410,8171,5772,1342,391N/A
9/28/202410,6551,5622,3142,566N/A
6/29/202410,4211,4642,2612,521N/A
3/30/202410,1961,3922,1892,434N/A
12/31/20239,9781,7091,7912,044N/A
9/30/20239,8361,7021,8272,072N/A
7/1/20239,6541,5171,4961,746N/A
4/1/20239,3911,3741,4071,663N/A
12/31/20229,1121,3631,5671,823N/A
10/1/20228,7251,1751,0021,253N/A
7/2/20228,4591,2039991,241N/A
4/2/20228,2901,2681,3741,619N/A
12/31/20218,1711,2451,5941,837N/A
10/2/20218,1241,2561,5971,838N/A
7/3/20217,8851,1541,6251,854N/A
4/3/20217,5329961,4541,675N/A
12/31/20207,4149491,3961,613N/A
9/26/20207,5177801,4941,704N/A
6/27/20207,6438421,6171,838N/A
3/28/20207,8859141,6501,880N/A
12/31/20197,8878681,5751,823N/A
9/28/20197,7651,047N/A1,840N/A
6/29/20197,6331,027N/A1,652N/A
3/30/20197,5321,000N/A1,826N/A
12/31/20187,343966N/A1,075N/A
9/29/20187,046-31N/A1,024N/A
6/30/20186,830-66N/A956N/A
3/31/20186,567-115N/A704N/A
12/31/20176,380-155N/A1,346N/A
9/30/20176,306663N/A1,098N/A
7/1/20176,192644N/A1,176N/A
4/1/20176,126620N/A1,294N/A
12/31/20166,038560N/A1,165N/A
10/1/20165,837594N/A1,066N/A
7/2/20165,727526N/A1,019N/A
4/2/20165,665570N/A878N/A
12/31/20155,695640N/A1,021N/A
10/3/20155,836-563N/A-61N/A
7/4/20155,850-622N/A-503N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: MSI's forecast earnings growth (8.4% per year) is above the savings rate (3.4%).

Earnings vs Market: MSI's earnings (8.4% per year) are forecast to grow slower than the US market (16% per year).

High Growth Earnings: MSI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: MSI's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the US market (11.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: MSI's revenue (6.3% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.


Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts


Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: MSI's Return on Equity is forecast to be very high in 3 years time (65.2%).


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/04 09:42
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/01 00:00
Earnings2025/12/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Motorola Solutions, Inc. is covered by 42 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Richard KramerArete Research Services LLP
James KelleherArgus Research Company
Timothy LongBarclays