HP Valuation

Is HPQ undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of HPQ when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: HPQ ($36.68) is trading below our estimate of fair value ($60.01)

Significantly Below Fair Value: HPQ is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HPQ?

Key metric: As HPQ is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for HPQ. This is calculated by dividing HPQ's market cap by their current earnings.
What is HPQ's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio12.4x
EarningsUS$2.84b
Market CapUS$35.53b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does HPQ's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for HPQ vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average32.6x
HPE Hewlett Packard Enterprise
14.8x7.3%US$28.0b
NTAP NetApp
23.3x7.4%US$25.0b
WDC Western Digital
67.1x20.4%US$22.6b
STX Seagate Technology Holdings
25.2x12.1%US$20.7b
12.4x3.6%US$35.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HPQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the peer average (32.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does HPQ's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Tech Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
HPQ 12.4xIndustry Avg. 22.0xNo. of Companies30PE01632486480+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HPQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the Global Tech industry average (22x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is HPQ's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

HPQ PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio12.4x
Fair PE Ratio22.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HPQ is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (12.4x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (22.3x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst HPQ forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentUS$36.68
US$35.45
-3.4%
9.5%US$41.00US$30.00n/a16
Nov ’25US$36.28
US$35.51
-2.1%
9.8%US$42.00US$30.00n/a16
Oct ’25US$34.76
US$35.45
+2.0%
10.2%US$42.00US$30.00n/a16
Sep ’25US$36.18
US$36.04
-0.4%
10.1%US$42.00US$30.00n/a16
Aug ’25US$35.17
US$36.04
+2.5%
11.1%US$45.00US$30.00n/a16
Jul ’25US$34.97
US$34.98
+0.02%
8.8%US$40.00US$30.00n/a16
Jun ’25US$36.50
US$34.20
-6.3%
9.0%US$40.00US$30.00n/a15
May ’25US$27.75
US$31.78
+14.5%
12.9%US$40.00US$24.00n/a16
Apr ’25US$30.38
US$31.72
+4.4%
13.0%US$40.00US$24.00n/a16
Mar ’25US$29.41
US$31.61
+7.5%
13.1%US$40.00US$24.00n/a16
Feb ’25US$28.94
US$31.54
+9.0%
13.5%US$40.00US$22.00n/a16
Jan ’25US$30.09
US$31.28
+3.9%
13.4%US$40.00US$22.00n/a17
Dec ’24US$29.50
US$30.48
+3.3%
11.3%US$37.00US$22.00n/a16
Nov ’24US$26.48
US$30.61
+15.6%
12.2%US$39.00US$23.00US$36.2816
Oct ’24US$25.70
US$30.22
+17.6%
13.1%US$39.00US$23.00US$34.7616
Sep ’24US$30.37
US$30.21
-0.5%
12.7%US$39.00US$23.00US$36.1817
Aug ’24US$32.95
US$30.79
-6.5%
12.1%US$40.00US$24.00US$35.1717
Jul ’24US$30.71
US$30.50
-0.7%
10.3%US$37.00US$24.00US$34.9717
Jun ’24US$29.42
US$30.38
+3.2%
10.5%US$37.00US$24.00US$36.5016
May ’24US$29.96
US$29.60
-1.2%
10.2%US$35.00US$24.00US$27.7515
Apr ’24US$29.35
US$29.00
-1.2%
8.8%US$33.00US$24.00US$30.3816
Mar ’24US$28.86
US$29.31
+1.6%
8.4%US$33.00US$24.00US$29.4116
Feb ’24US$29.87
US$28.91
-3.2%
9.6%US$33.00US$24.00US$28.9416
Jan ’24US$26.87
US$28.97
+7.8%
9.6%US$33.00US$24.00US$30.0916
Dec ’23US$29.86
US$28.93
-3.1%
9.4%US$33.00US$24.00US$29.5016
Nov ’23US$27.85
US$29.74
+6.8%
8.9%US$33.00US$24.00US$26.4816

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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