GPGI, Inc.

NYSE:GPGI Stock Report

Market Cap: US$3.9b

GPGI Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

GPGI is forecast to grow revenue at 48.8% per annum.

Key information

n/a

Earnings growth rate

n/a

EPS growth rate

Tech earnings growth9.9%
Revenue growth rate48.8%
Future return on equity11.77%
Analyst coverage

Low

Last updated21 Aug 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Seeking Alpha • Aug 20

GPGI: CompoSecure's Strength Can't Mask Husky's Cyclical Decline

Summary GPGI, Inc. (GPGI) receives a Hold rating due to high leverage, cyclical risk in Husky, and limited margin of safety. CompoSecure delivers robust growth and margins, but Husky’s revenue and profitability are sharply declining amid deferred CapEx and resin price volatility. Management’s full-year guidance depends on a significant H2 rebound in Husky, which appears optimistic given macro headwinds and sector cyclicality. GPGI trades at 9.8x EV/EBITDA and 18.4x P/E, but heavy debt and lack of catalysts warrant a cautious stance near the $13 price target. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Jul 01

GPGI: Index Removals And Neutral Outlook Will Temper But Not Erase Upside Potential

Analysts have lowered their price target on GPGI to $15 from $22, citing a shift toward smaller cap industrials with more resilient end markets and clearer growth drivers as uncertainty around the macro backdrop persists. What’s in the News for GPGI GPGI, Inc.
Narrative Update • Jun 17

GPGI: Husky Integration And Margin Recovery Will Drive Future Stock Upside

GPGI's updated analyst narrative reflects a lower price target of $15 from $22, as analysts cite ongoing macro uncertainty and a preference for companies with resilient end markets and clearer growth drivers. What’s in the News for GPGI GPGI reported mixed Q1 2026 results following its US$5b acquisition of Husky Technologies, with consolidated net sales of US$407.8 million and Adjusted EBITDA of US$88.8 million, while recording a GAAP net loss of US$235 million.
Narrative Update • Jun 03

GPGI: Future Upside Will Depend On Husky Execution Versus Short Seller Allegations

Narrative Update on GPGI Analysts have trimmed their GPGI price target from $22 to $15, pointing to a more cautious stance on smaller cap industrials. They are stressing selectivity around resilient end markets and clearer growth drivers.
Narrative Update • May 07

GPGI: Future Issuer Partnerships Will Counter Short Seller Concerns And Support Upside

Analysts have kept the GPGI price target at $22.00, citing updated assumptions that pair a slightly higher discount rate and revenue growth outlook with a lower profit margin and P/E. Together, these factors leave their valuation view broadly unchanged.
Narrative Update • Apr 22

GPGI: Future Upside Will Rely On Credibility Versus Short Seller Allegations

Analysts have kept their $24.33 price target for GPGI broadly unchanged, reflecting only minor tweaks to the discount rate and forward P/E assumptions rather than any shift in the core outlook. What's in the News Jehoshaphat Research disclosed a short position in GPGI, calling the company a "fundamentally flawed financial scheme" and claiming key metrics and management projections are misleading due to what it describes as a "bizarre" incentive structure (Periodicals).
Narrative Update • Apr 07

GPGI: Future Upside Will Depend On Premium Card Issuer Partnerships

Analysts now see GPGI’s fair value edging to about $24.33 from roughly $24.20. The updated price target reflects a higher assumed discount rate, a very large adjustment to projected revenue growth, a lower profit margin outlook, and a higher future P/E, informed in part by recent commentary that JPMorgan Chase taking over the Apple Card program could be a positive readthrough for key suppliers like CompoSecure.
Narrative Update • Mar 24

GPGI: Major Issuer Partnerships Will Shape Future Margin Quality And Upside

Analysts kept their GPGI fair value target steady at $22.00. They cited updated assumptions that reflect higher expected revenue growth, a lower profit margin profile, a higher future P/E, and a slightly higher discount rate informed in part by recent research around card-issuing partnerships such as the Chase and Apple Card shift.
Narrative Update • Mar 10

GPGI: Issuer Relationships With Premium Card Programs Will Shape Future Upside Potential

Analysts have trimmed their price target on GPGI from $25.50 to $24.20, reflecting slightly lower fair value and modestly softer assumptions on growth and margins, even as they acknowledge potential upside for card manufacturers highlighted in recent Street research. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on card manufacturers is feeding into the debate around GPGI, especially as large issuers like JPMorgan Chase adjust their credit card partnerships.
Narrative Update • Feb 24

GPGI: Apple Card Transition To Chase Will Shape Future Margin Profile

Narrative Update on GPGI The analyst price target for GPGI remains at $22.00, with analysts keeping their fair value view steady while modestly adjusting assumptions on discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E in light of recent bullish Street commentary on CompoSecure's exposure to the Apple Card transition to JPMorgan Chase. Analyst Commentary Street research around CompoSecure, which sits within GPGI's portfolio exposure, has centered on the potential impact of JPMorgan Chase taking over the Apple Card program.
Narrative Update • Feb 09

GPGI: Margin Progress And Issuer Partnerships Will Guide Balanced Future Outlook

Narrative Update Analysts lifted their price target on GPGI from US$25.50 to US$26.00, citing sustained margin improvement, stronger organic growth, and potential upside from issuer partnerships similar to the recent street commentary on CompoSecure. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CompoSecure is shaping how investors think about GPGI, particularly where card manufacturing, issuer relationships, and margins intersect.
Narrative Update • Jan 26

GPGI: Margin Progress And Husky Deal Will Shape Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts lifted their price target on GPGI by US$4 to US$25, citing updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, margins, and a higher future P/E multiple after reviewing recent research on CompoSecure and related card and equipment deals. Analyst Commentary Bullish Takeaways Bullish analysts point to recent Street work on CompoSecure, including higher price targets in the US$20 to US$26 range, as support for using a higher future P/E multiple in GPGI models tied to premium metal card demand.
Narrative Update • Jan 11

CMPO: Husky Deal And Card Contract Shifts Will Shape Future Margin Profile

Analysts have nudged their average price target on CompoSecure to around US$22, reflecting updated views on discount rates, profit margins, and future P/E as they factor in recent research highlighting potential benefits from the Chase Apple Card transition, margin trends, and the Husky Technologies acquisition. Analyst Commentary Recent research on CompoSecure has centered on three themes that matter for equity holders: the potential impact of the Chase Apple Card transition, the trajectory of margins following recent results, and how the Husky Technologies acquisition could influence growth and execution risk.
Narrative Update • Dec 26

CMPO: Husky Acquisition Will Drive Long-Term Earnings Power And Margin Expansion

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for CompoSecure from $16.00 to $22.00 per share, citing stronger organic revenue growth, materially higher margin expectations, and sustained momentum from recent acquisitions and platform partnerships. Analyst Commentary Street research has grown more constructive on CompoSecure as execution has improved, with multiple firms lifting price targets following stronger than expected quarterly results and the announced acquisition of Husky Technologies.
Narrative Update • Dec 11

CMPO: Margin Expansion And Husky Acquisition Will Drive Future Share Price Strength

Analysts have nudged their blended price target for CompoSecure slightly higher, from roughly $25.17 to $25.50. They point to sustained margin expansion, faster organic growth and incremental value from the Husky Technologies acquisition as key drivers.
Narrative Update • Nov 27

CMPO: Margin Expansion And Synergy Realization Will Drive Share Price Strength

CompoSecure's average analyst price target has risen notably following positive updates on margin improvements, robust growth, and synergies from its recent acquisition. Targets have increased by $4 to $5 per share as analysts cite sustained business momentum and successful execution.
Narrative Update • Nov 13

CMPO: Margin Expansion And Acquisition Integration Will Drive Share Performance

CompoSecure’s consensus analyst price target has increased from $21.33 to $25.17 per share. This move is driven by analysts citing stronger revenue growth forecasts, sustainable margin improvements, and upside from recent acquisitions and partnerships.
Narrative Update • Oct 30

CMPO: Card Growth And New Fintech Offerings Will Drive Market Expansion

Analysts have increased their price target for CompoSecure by $0.67 to $21.33. They cite sustained customer growth and recent strategic partnerships as key drivers supporting the company's outlook.
Narrative Update • Oct 15

Premium Cards And Digital Security Will Expand Global Markets

Analysts have revised CompoSecure’s price target upwards from $19.00 to $20.67. They cite improved management execution, new strategic partnerships, and continued platform enhancements as key factors supporting the updated outlook.
Narrative Update • Sep 04

Premium Cards And Digital Security Will Expand Global Markets

With both the discount rate (8.15%) and consensus revenue growth (33.9% per annum) unchanged, analysts maintained their price target for CompoSecure at $19.00. What's in the News CompoSecure is showcasing its Arculus direct onchain tap-to-pay capability, enabling direct crypto payments at traditional POS terminals without requiring new hardware for providers.
Seeking Alpha • Feb 16

CompoSecure: Taking Profits

Summary CompoSecure shares surged 184% in 2024 due to a significant restructuring, despite single-digit growth and subdued business prospects for metal cards in 2025. The termination of the dual-class capital structure and Resolute Holdings' buyout of Class B shares significantly boosted investor confidence and stock performance. However, CompoSecure's FY24 financials showed modest growth, with management lowering EBITDA guidance and anticipating single-digit growth for FY25 amid competitive and digital wallet headwinds. An updated analysis around CompoSecure follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
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New Narrative • Sep 16

Tactical Moves And Market Expansion Boost Prospects Amid Margin Concerns

Simplified corporate structure and strategic acquisition likely to enhance investor attraction and positively impact CompoSecure's stock valuation.
Seeking Alpha • Aug 13

CompoSecure: Hitting The Right Notes

Summary Today, we look at CompoSecure, which designs and manufactures payment cards for top U.S. card issuers, with over 80% market share in metal cards. The stock has shot up some 30% over the past week and a half. The catalysts for this move were better than expected Q2 results, a potentially transformational ownership transaction and an amended credit facility. Can the rally in this small-cap name continue?  An analysis of CompoSecure follows in the paragraphs below. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Analysis Article • May 13

We Think CompoSecure's (NASDAQ:CMPO) Robust Earnings Are Conservative

CompoSecure, Inc.'s ( NASDAQ:CMPO ) earnings announcement last week was disappointing for investors, despite the decent...

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

NYSE:GPGI - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/20282,538N/A6456991
12/31/20272,328N/A1902401
12/31/20262,020N/A591051
6/30/20260-316-70-70N/A
3/31/20260-393-78-78N/A
12/31/202560-136-23-23N/A
9/30/2025161-2172225N/A
6/30/2025268-846167N/A
3/31/2025376-389299N/A
12/31/2024421-54121130N/A
9/30/2024420-13112122N/A
6/30/202440937109117N/A
3/31/202439923104113N/A
12/31/20233911993104N/A
9/30/2023385198089N/A
6/30/2023391158394N/A
3/31/20233901894106N/A
12/31/2022378198493N/A
9/30/2022360-45104112N/A
6/30/2022323-3095102N/A
3/31/2022288-177884N/A
12/31/202126837378N/A
9/30/2021246665762N/A
6/30/2021244696568N/A
3/31/2021244736770N/A
12/31/2020261788087N/A
12/31/201924381N/A81N/A
12/31/201815552N/A39N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: Insufficient data to determine if GPGI's forecast earnings growth is above the savings rate (3.7%).

Earnings vs Market: Insufficient data to determine if GPGI's earnings are forecast to grow faster than the US market

High Growth Earnings: Insufficient data to determine if GPGI's earnings are expected to grow significantly over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: GPGI's revenue (48.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the US market (13.5% per year).

High Growth Revenue: GPGI's revenue (48.8% per year) is forecast to grow faster than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: GPGI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/09/10 23:57
End of Day Share Price 2026/09/10 00:00
Earnings2026/06/30
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

GPGI, Inc. is covered by 5 analysts. 1 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Jinli ChanBofA Global Research
Mark PalmerBTIG
Joseph FlynnCompass Point Research & Trading, LLC