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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for CMPO

Update shared on 30 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 3.23%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
21.5%
7D
-2.0%

Analysts have increased their price target for CompoSecure by $0.67 to $21.33. They cite sustained customer growth and recent strategic partnerships as key drivers supporting the company's outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Bullish analysts have responded positively to CompoSecure's recent performance and strategic direction, leading to notable price target increases. Their remarks underscore continued confidence in the company's ability to expand its customer base and enhance its growth initiatives.

Bullish Takeaways

  • Rising card growth within CompoSecure's customer ecosystem is seen as sustainable through at least 2026. This reinforces a positive long-term outlook.
  • Fintech product launches, many of which began in 2025, are expected to contribute incremental growth and diversify revenue streams.
  • Management's efforts to bolster the platform, including the rollout of smart order routing and new partnerships, are viewed as steps that should help maintain operational momentum.
  • Potential for transformative deals continues to be considered a central driver. Improved execution is supporting greater confidence in the company's ability to deliver on its strategic goals.

Bearish Takeaways

  • Uncertainty remains around whether partnership initiatives and technology rollouts will deliver immediate material gains to financial results.
  • Execution risk exists as new fintech offerings scale, particularly given the relative novelty of some recent launches.
  • While momentum is observed, there is caution regarding the company's ability to consistently meet heightened expectations tied to its raised valuation.

What's in the News

  • Needham raised its price target for CompoSecure to $22 from $18 and maintained a Buy rating, citing sustained card growth and the ramp-up of new fintech offerings into 2026 (Periodical).
  • Mary Holt has been appointed Chief Financial Officer, bringing over 30 years of experience in financial leadership and succeeding Tim Fitzsimmons. Tim Fitzsimmons will stay on as an advisor during the transition (Key Development).
  • Effective September 23, 2025, CompoSecure will change its primary exchange listing to the New York Stock Exchange. The company is moving from the Nasdaq Global Market (Key Development).
  • CompoSecure has been dropped from the NASDAQ Composite Index (Key Development).
  • Arculus, a CompoSecure brand, will debut its direct onchain tap-to-pay capability at Stablecoin Conference LATAM 2025. This feature will enable seamless crypto payments at traditional merchant terminals (Key Development).

Valuation Changes

  • The Fair Value Estimate has increased slightly from $20.67 to $21.33, reflecting updated analyst expectations.
  • The Discount Rate has edged down marginally from 7.99% to 7.99%, suggesting a modest adjustment in perceived risk.
  • The Revenue Growth Projection has risen slightly from 33.96% to 34.11%, indicating expectations for a stronger top-line outlook.
  • The Net Profit Margin has improved from 81.59% to 82.35%, pointing to anticipated gains in profitability.
  • The Future P/E Ratio has increased from 6.19x to 6.31x, showing a modest upward adjustment in valuation multiples.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.