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AnalystConsensusTarget updated the narrative for CMPO

Update shared on 15 Oct 2025

Fair value Increased 8.77%
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AnalystConsensusTarget's Fair Value
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1Y
21.5%
7D
-2.0%

Analysts have revised CompoSecure’s price target upwards from $19.00 to $20.67. They cite improved management execution, new strategic partnerships, and continued platform enhancements as key factors supporting the updated outlook.

Analyst Commentary

Recent research updates provide further insight into drivers supporting the upward revision of CompoSecure’s price target, as well as ongoing areas of caution that could influence future valuations.

Bullish Takeaways
  • Bullish analysts highlight improved management execution and visible enhancements to the company’s platform as central factors in the positive outlook.
  • New strategic partnerships, including a notable expansion through the Arculus unit, are seen as bolstering CompoSecure’s capabilities and growth potential.
  • Product innovation, such as the introduction of a smart order router for crypto trading, demonstrates the company’s commitment to meeting evolving market needs and adding momentum to share price performance.
  • Speculation around the potential for a significant and transformative deal remains a core element of optimism surrounding future growth and valuation.
Bearish Takeaways
  • Bearish analysts remain cautious about the company’s dependency on executing such a game-changing deal, noting that failure to deliver could limit upside potential.
  • The competitive landscape for both payment technology and crypto storage solutions presents ongoing challenges that could pressure margins or growth rates.
  • There is concern that continued platform enhancements may not yield immediate revenue gains, especially if adoption lags expectations.

What's in the News

  • Mary Holt has been appointed as Chief Financial Officer, succeeding Tim Fitzsimmons who is retiring after a distinguished tenure. Ms. Holt brings over 30 years of financial leadership experience to CompoSecure and will oversee all aspects of financial management. (Key Developments)
  • CompoSecure will change its primary exchange listing to the New York Stock Exchange from Nasdaq Global Market. This change will be effective September 23, 2025. (Key Developments)
  • CompoSecure has been dropped from the NASDAQ Composite Index. (Key Developments)
  • The company introduced Arculus direct onchain tap-to-pay capabilities, allowing seamless onchain crypto payments at traditional point-of-sale terminals. This expands adoption opportunities for both merchants and wallet providers. (Key Developments)
  • No shares were repurchased from April 1, 2025 to June 30, 2025 under the previously announced buyback program. (Key Developments)

Valuation Changes

  • Consensus Analyst Price Target has risen from $19.00 to $20.67. This reflects a modest increase in expected fair value.
  • Discount Rate has fallen slightly from 8.00% to 7.99%. This indicates a minor reduction in perceived investment risk.
  • Revenue Growth projections have edged up from 33.88% to 33.96% year-over-year. This suggests incremental optimism about future sales.
  • Net Profit Margin estimate has increased from 79.06% to 81.59%. This highlights improved anticipated profitability.
  • Future P/E ratio has risen from 5.89x to 6.19x. This suggests a slight lift in valuation multiples assigned to future earnings.

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Disclaimer

AnalystConsensusTarget is a tool utilizing a Large Language Model (LLM) that ingests data on consensus price targets, forecasted revenue and earnings figures, as well as the transcripts of earnings calls to produce qualitative analysis. The narratives produced by AnalystConsensusTarget are general in nature and are based solely on analyst data and publicly-available material published by the respective companies. These scenarios are not indicative of the company's future performance and are exploratory in nature. Simply Wall St has no position in the company(s) mentioned. Simply Wall St may provide the securities issuer or related entities with website advertising services for a fee, on an arm's length basis. These relationships have no impact on the way we conduct our business, the content we host, or how our content is served to users. The price targets and estimates used are consensus data, and do not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and they do not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that AnalystConsensusTarget's analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.