Arista Networks (ANET): Evaluating Valuation After New AI Data Center and Campus Networking Launches
Arista Networks (ANET) has been busy, rolling out new AI focused campus and data center solutions while teaming with Fortinet on a Secure AI Data Center architecture that underscores its leadership in high performance networking.
See our latest analysis for Arista Networks.
Those moves come after a choppy stretch for the stock, with a recent pullback leaving the 90 day share price return at negative 16.7 percent, but a still solid 11.5 percent year to date, and a standout five year total shareholder return above 500 percent that shows long term momentum remains firmly intact.
If Arista’s AI networking story has your attention, it is worth seeing what else is setting up for growth in high growth tech and AI stocks.
With shares now trading at a steep discount to Wall Street targets despite rising AI demand and robust profitability, are investors overlooking Arista’s next leg of growth, or has the market already priced in its AI networking upside?
Most Popular Narrative Narrative: 24.1% Undervalued
With the latest fair value estimate sitting well above Arista Networks’ last close, the most followed narrative sees meaningful upside still on the table.
The analysts have a consensus price target of $140.25 for Arista Networks based on their expectations of its future earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors. However, there is a degree of disagreement amongst analysts, with the most bullish reporting a price target of $160.0, and the most bearish reporting a price target of just $103.0.
Want to see how strong double digit revenue growth, robust margins, and a rich future earnings multiple can still justify upside from here? The narrative lays out the precise growth runway, profit profile, and valuation math that underpin this higher fair value. Curious which long term assumptions really carry the model? Dive in to unpack the numbers driving this call.
Result: Fair Value of $164.08 (UNDERVALUED)
Have a read of the narrative in full and understand what's behind the forecasts.
However, investors should watch concentration in a few hyperscaler customers and rising competition in open Ethernet and AI networking, which could limit both margins and growth.
Find out about the key risks to this Arista Networks narrative.
Another Angle on Valuation
On earnings based valuation, Arista looks pricey, trading on a 46.8x price to earnings ratio versus 30.7x for the US Communications industry, 30.5x for peers, and a 38.8x fair ratio. That premium bakes in a lot of AI optimism, so what happens if growth expectations cool?
See what the numbers say about this price — find out in our valuation breakdown.
Build Your Own Arista Networks Narrative
If you are not fully aligned with this view or prefer digging into the numbers yourself, you can build a custom narrative in minutes, Do it your way.
A great starting point for your Arista Networks research is our analysis highlighting 3 key rewards and 1 important warning sign that could impact your investment decision.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Arista Networks might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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