Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving Xerox Holdings Corporation's (NASDAQ:XRX) 27% Price Drop

Published
NasdaqGS:XRX

To the annoyance of some shareholders, Xerox Holdings Corporation (NASDAQ:XRX) shares are down a considerable 27% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 35% in that time.

After such a large drop in price, Xerox Holdings may be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x, considering almost half of all companies in the Tech industry in the United States have P/S ratios greater than 1.3x and even P/S higher than 7x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Xerox Holdings

NasdaqGS:XRX Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 11th 2024

What Does Xerox Holdings' Recent Performance Look Like?

Xerox Holdings could be doing better as its revenue has been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive revenue growth. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. So while you could say the stock is cheap, investors will be looking for improvement before they see it as good value.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Xerox Holdings.

How Is Xerox Holdings' Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xerox Holdings would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 6.7%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 2.9% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should bring diminished returns, with revenue decreasing 3.7% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 6.4% growth, that's a disappointing outcome.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Xerox Holdings' P/S is closely matching its industry peers. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Key Takeaway

Xerox Holdings' recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Tech companies. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Xerox Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking revenue is contributing to its low P/S. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Xerox Holdings (at least 2 which are a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xerox Holdings, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.