Stock Analysis

Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ:VSAT) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 25% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

NasdaqGS:VSAT
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Viasat, Inc. (NASDAQ:VSAT) shares have retraced a considerable 25% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 32% in that time.

Since its price has dipped substantially, considering around half the companies operating in the United States' Communications industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 1.1x, you may consider Viasat as an solid investment opportunity with its 0.4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Viasat

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:VSAT Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 23rd 2024

How Has Viasat Performed Recently?

With revenue growth that's superior to most other companies of late, Viasat has been doing relatively well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Viasat will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Viasat would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 68% last year. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 102% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to slump, contracting by 0.9% during the coming year according to the nine analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the broader industry is forecast to expand by 8.1%, which paints a poor picture.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Viasat's P/S is closely matching its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Viasat's P/S?

The southerly movements of Viasat's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

It's clear to see that Viasat maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast for sliding revenue, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless there's material change, it's hard to envision a situation where the stock price will rise drastically.

It is also worth noting that we have found 3 warning signs for Viasat (1 is potentially serious!) that you need to take into consideration.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.