Stock Analysis

Investor Optimism Abounds Viavi Solutions Inc. (NASDAQ:VIAV) But Growth Is Lacking

NasdaqGS:VIAV
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Viavi Solutions Inc.'s (NASDAQ:VIAV) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2x may not look like an appealing investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Communications industry in the United States have P/S ratios below 1.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Check out our latest analysis for Viavi Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:VIAV Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 29th 2024

What Does Viavi Solutions' P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Viavi Solutions hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this poor revenue performance will turn the corner. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Viavi Solutions' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Viavi Solutions?

Viavi Solutions' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 19%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 8.5% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the eight analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 3.6% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 1.9%, which is not materially different.

With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Viavi Solutions' P/S is higher than its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Viavi Solutions' P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given Viavi Solutions' future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for Viavi Solutions you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Viavi Solutions, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Viavi Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About NasdaqGS:VIAV

Viavi Solutions

Viavi Solutions Inc. provides network test, monitoring, and assurance solutions for communications service providers, hyperscalers, network equipment manufacturers, original equipment manufacturers, government, and avionics customers in the Americas, the Asia-Pacific, Europe, the Middle East, and Africa.

Moderate growth potential with mediocre balance sheet.