Stock Analysis

    Should You Be Adding Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX) To Your Watchlist Today?

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    For beginners, it can seem like a good idea (and an exciting prospect) to buy a company that tells a good story to investors, even if it completely lacks a track record of revenue and profit. Unfortunately, high risk investments often have little probability of ever paying off, and many investors pay a price to learn their lesson.

    So if you're like me, you might be more interested in profitable, growing companies, like Seagate Technology (NASDAQ:STX). Now, I'm not saying that the stock is necessarily undervalued today; but I can't shake an appreciation for the profitability of the business itself. While a well funded company may sustain losses for years, unless its owners have an endless appetite for subsidizing the customer, it will need to generate a profit eventually, or else breathe its last breath.

    Check out our latest analysis for Seagate Technology

    How Fast Is Seagate Technology Growing Its Earnings Per Share?

    In the last three years Seagate Technology's earnings per share took off like a rocket; fast, and from a low base. So the actual rate of growth doesn't tell us much. As a result, I'll zoom in on growth over the last year, instead. Like the last firework on New Year's Eve accelerating into the sky, Seagate Technology's EPS shot from US$4.09 to US$7.13, over the last year. You don't see 74% year-on-year growth like that, very often.

    I like to take a look at earnings before interest and (EBIT) tax margins, as well as revenue growth, to get another take on the quality of the company's growth. While Seagate Technology may have maintained EBIT margins over the last year, revenue has fallen. Suffice it to say that is not a great sign of growth.

    NasdaqGS:STX Income Statement, August 19th 2019
    NasdaqGS:STX Income Statement, August 19th 2019

    While we live in the present moment at all times, there's no doubt in my mind that the future matters more than the past. So why not check this interactive chart depicting future EPS estimates, for Seagate Technology?

    Are Seagate Technology Insiders Aligned With All Shareholders?

    Since Seagate Technology has a market capitalization of US$12b, we wouldn't expect insiders to hold a large percentage of shares. But we are reassured by the fact they have invested in the company. With a whopping US$74m worth of shares as a group, insiders have plenty riding on the company's success. That's certainly enough to make me think that management will be very focussed on long term growth.

    It's good to see that insiders are invested in the company, but are remuneration levels reasonable? Well, based on the CEO pay, I'd say they are indeed. For companies with market capitalizations over US$8.0b, like Seagate Technology, the median CEO pay is around US$11m.

    Seagate Technology offered total compensation worth US$9.3m to its CEO in the year to June 2018. That comes in below the average for similar sized companies, and seems pretty reasonable to me. While the level of CEO compensation isn't a huge factor in my view of the company, modest remuneration is a positive, because it suggests that the board keeps shareholder interests in mind. It can also be a sign of good governance, more generally.

    Is Seagate Technology Worth Keeping An Eye On?

    Seagate Technology's earnings per share growth have been levitating higher, like a mountain goat scaling the Alps. The sweetener is that insiders have a mountain of stock, and the CEO remuneration is quite reasonable. The sharp increase in earnings could signal good business momentum. Seagate Technology certainly ticks a few of my boxes, so I think it's probably well worth further consideration. Once you've identified a business you like, the next step is to consider what you think it's worth. And right now is your chance to view our exclusive discounted cashflow valuation of Seagate Technology. You might benefit from giving it a glance today.

    Although Seagate Technology certainly looks good to me, I would like it more if insiders were buying up shares. If you like to see insider buying, too, then this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying, could be exactly what you're looking for.

    Please note the insider transactions discussed in this article refer to reportable transactions in the relevant jurisdiction

    We aim to bring you long-term focused research analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.

    If you spot an error that warrants correction, please contact the editor at editorial-team@simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Simply Wall St has no position in the stocks mentioned. Thank you for reading.