Seagate Technology Holdings Past Earnings Performance
Past criteria checks 5/6
Seagate Technology Holdings has been growing earnings at an average annual rate of 4.8%, while the Tech industry saw earnings growing at 15.2% annually. Revenues have been declining at an average rate of 5.6% per year. Seagate Technology Holdings's return on equity is 217.2%, and it has net margins of 21.6%.
Key information
4.84%
Earnings growth rate
7.48%
EPS growth rate
| Tech Industry Growth | 14.32% |
| Revenue growth rate | -5.56% |
| Return on equity | 217.17% |
| Net Margin | 21.60% |
| Last Earnings Update | 03 Apr 2026 |
Recent past performance updates
Recent updates
Analysis Article • May 06
Seagate Technology Holdings' (NASDAQ:STX) Solid Profits Have Weak Fundamentals
Unsurprisingly, Seagate Technology Holdings plc's ( NASDAQ:STX ) stock price was strong on the back of its healthy...
Narrative Update • May 02
STX: AI Storage Cycle And Supply Discipline Will Shape Future Margin Profile
Seagate Technology Holdings' analyst price target has been reset higher, with fair value moving from about $483.07 to about $770.43 as analysts factor in updated views on revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E multiples following a series of recent price target increases across major research firms. Analyst Commentary Across recent research updates, analysts are recalibrating their models and price targets for Seagate Technology Holdings as they reassess revenue trajectories, profitability assumptions, and the P/E they are willing to apply to the shares.Seeking Alpha • Apr 30
Seagate: The Biggest Risk Is Buying At The Top Of The Industry Capex Cycle
Summary Seagate Technology Holdings plc has doubled over the past year, driven by surging data center demand and hyperscaler capex. At current prices, STX trades at 34x FY26 and 23x FY27 P/E, reflecting peak earnings expectations. The hyperscaler capex boom, especially from Meta, is unsustainable and likely to peak by FY26 or FY27. I reiterate a Sell rating on STX stock, urging investors to lock in gains before the inevitable normalization. Read the full article on Seeking Alpha
Narrative Update • Apr 16
STX: Elevated AI Storage Optimism Will Test 2026 HDD Cycle Assumptions
Narrative Update on Seagate Technology Holdings The analyst price target for Seagate Technology Holdings has been raised by $582. Analysts attribute this to updated assumptions that include slightly lower discount rates, marginally higher revenue growth and profit margins, and a modestly reduced future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Apr 02
STX: AI Data Storage Cycle And Supply Discipline Will Support Future Margin Durability
The analyst price target for Seagate Technology Holdings has been raised from about $475 to roughly $483. Analysts cite stronger profitability assumptions, slightly higher revenue growth expectations, a modestly lower discount rate, and the use of a lower future P/E multiple in their models as supporting factors for this adjustment.Narrative Update • Mar 18
STX: AI Storage Demand And Supply Discipline Will Support Durable Margin Expansion
Analysts have raised the Seagate Technology Holdings price target to $475, reflecting updates to fair value estimates alongside higher assumptions for revenue, profit margins, and future P/E multiples that are in line with a recent series of target increases from major research firms. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Seagate Technology Holdings highlights an active reset of targets and ratings, with many firms revisiting their assumptions on revenue, margins, and P/E multiples in light of updated outlooks through 2026.Narrative Update • Mar 04
STX: AI Storage Hopes And HDD Cycle Assumptions Will Test 2026 P E
Analysts raised their average price target on Seagate Technology Holdings to $375.00, a move supported by a series of upward target revisions from multiple firms citing stronger revenue growth assumptions, slightly higher profit margins, and a modestly adjusted P/E framework. Analyst Commentary Recent research points to a cluster of higher price targets for Seagate, with several firms adjusting their models around revenue expectations, margin profiles, and P/E assumptions.
New Narrative • Feb 21
HAMR Time: Dominating the High-Capacity Cloud
Seagate Technology (STX) has transformed itself from a legacy hardware maker into a critical AI infrastructure darling, with its stock price hitting $411 in February 2026. This 330% climb over the past year has been fueled by the successful commercialization of Heat-Assisted Magnetic Recording (HAMR) technology.Narrative Update • Feb 18
STX: Elevated P E Expectations For 2026 Pricing Will Face Execution Test
The analyst price target for Seagate Technology Holdings has been updated to $375.00. This change reflects analysts' revised assumptions for higher revenue growth, slightly stronger profit margins, and a higher future P/E multiple following a series of Street target increases and rating upgrades.Analysis Article • Feb 09
After Leaping 41% Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) Shares Are Not Flying Under The Radar
Seagate Technology Holdings plc ( NASDAQ:STX ) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 41% share price...
Narrative Update • Feb 04
STX: HDD Pricing Power In AI Cycle Will Support Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price target on Seagate Technology Holdings to US$505.00 from US$459.66, citing updated assumptions for faster revenue growth, a slightly adjusted discount rate, a lower profit margin profile, and a higher future P/E multiple. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates around Seagate Technology Holdings point to a broadly constructive tone, with a series of price target increases and rating upgrades clustering over the past several months.Narrative Update • Jan 21
STX: HDD Pricing Power And AI Data Demand Will Drive Future Upside
Analysts have raised their price targets for Seagate Technology Holdings, with our fair value estimate increasing from US$427.32 to US$459.66. In their updated models, they highlight stronger revenue growth, higher profit margins, and a lower assumed future P/E multiple.Narrative Update • Jan 07
STX: Nearline HDD Demand And Pricing Power Will Drive Future Upside
Narrative Update on Seagate Technology Holdings The updated analyst price target for Seagate Technology Holdings has moved from about US$215 to roughly US$427. Analysts point to stronger modeled revenue growth, higher profit margin assumptions, a richer future P/E multiple, and supportive Street research citing firm HDD pricing, disciplined capacity additions, and AI driven demand for nearline storage.Narrative Update • Dec 24
STX: AI Data Demand And Tighter Supply Will Support Durable Margin Expansion
Analysts have nudged their fair value estimate for Seagate Technology Holdings higher to approximately $297 per share from about $289, citing sustained HDD pricing power, structurally stronger nearline demand tied to AI infrastructure, and a higher expected earnings multiple supported by disciplined capacity additions and accelerating HAMR adoption. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research reflects a broadly positive reassessment of Seagate valuation, with multiple price target increases clustered across a relatively short period.Narrative Update • Dec 09
STX: AI Storage Demand And Tight Supply Will Support Durable Upside
Analysts increased their price target for Seagate Technology Holdings by roughly $2 per share. This reflects growing confidence in structurally tight HDD supply, sustained nearline demand from AI infrastructure buildouts, and management's disciplined capacity additions that support higher long term pricing and margins.Narrative Update • Nov 25
STX: Durable Upside Will Continue Amid Cloud And AI-Driven Storage Demand Through 2026
Seagate Technology Holdings' analyst price target has increased from $277.25 to $287.10. This reflects heightened optimism among analysts who cite strong demand, disciplined capacity management, and continued momentum in storage market fundamentals.Narrative Update • Nov 09
STX: Rising Cloud Demand And Tight Supply Will Support Durable Upside Through 2026
Analysts have significantly raised their price target for Seagate Technology Holdings from $241.10 to $277.25. They cite stronger-than-expected margin improvements, robust demand for high-capacity drives, and growing optimism around sustained industry fundamentals.Analysis Article • Nov 01
Seagate Technology Holdings (NASDAQ:STX) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Seagate Technology Holdings plc ( NASDAQ:STX ) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's...Analysis Article • Oct 31
Seagate Technology Holdings plc Just Recorded A 16% EPS Beat: Here's What Analysts Are Forecasting Next
As you might know, Seagate Technology Holdings plc ( NASDAQ:STX ) just kicked off its latest quarterly results with...Narrative Update • Oct 26
Cloud Infrastructure And AI Demand Will Drive Data Storage Transformation
Seagate Technology Holdings saw its analyst price target increase significantly, rising from approximately $204 to $241. Analysts cite persistently strong demand, improving profit margins, and the accelerating adoption of AI-driven storage solutions as key drivers for the upgrade.Narrative Update • Oct 12
Mozaic Drives And Cloud Demand Will Transform Data Storage
Analysts have raised their price target for Seagate Technology Holdings from $192 to $204.35. They cite stronger demand, improving supply conditions, and a more optimistic outlook for AI-driven storage needs.Narrative Update • Sep 28
Mozaic Drives And Cloud Demand Will Transform Data Storage
Analysts have raised Seagate Technology’s price target from $170 to $192, citing strong AI-driven and cloud demand, industry-wide supply constraints enabling price increases, and adoption of advanced storage technologies, while noting some risk for slower growth past 2H 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong and sustained demand from AI-driven workloads and cloud infrastructure as key drivers supporting higher revenue and profit forecasts, with materially improved outlooks since the start of 2025.Narrative Update • Sep 13
Mozaic Drives And Cloud Demand Will Transform Data Storage
Buoyed by resilient demand, rising hard disk drive pricing, improving storage sector fundamentals—especially from AI and cloud—and Seagate’s successful HAMR execution, analysts raised long-term revenue and margin expectations, prompting a slight increase in the consensus price target from $166.42 to $170.00. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite industry-wide tailwinds, including sustained tight supply, resilient demand, and rising hard disk drive pricing, supporting upward revisions to Seagate’s revenue projections into 2026.Analysis Article • Sep 11
Earnings Tell The Story For Seagate Technology Holdings plc (NASDAQ:STX) As Its Stock Soars 27%
Seagate Technology Holdings plc ( NASDAQ:STX ) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 27% gain in the last...Narrative Update • Aug 29
Mozaic Drives And Cloud Demand Will Transform Data Storage
Seagate Technology Holdings’ consensus price target has been raised to $166.42, as analysts cite strengthening nearline/HAMR demand, structural industry profitability improvements, and robust EPS growth outlook, though some caution persists over shipment and margin growth peaking in 2025. Analyst Commentary Bullish analysts cite strong and improving demand in the hard disk drive market, particularly from cloud/hyperscale customers, with stable pricing and tight supply supporting the industry’s profitability.Analysis Article • Aug 08
Seagate Technology Holdings (NASDAQ:STX) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
NasdaqGS:STX 1 Year Share Price vs Fair Value Explore Seagate Technology Holdings's Fair Values from the Community and...Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
Revenue & Expenses Breakdown
How Seagate Technology Holdings makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.
Earnings and Revenue History
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | G+A Expenses | R&D Expenses |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr 26 | 11,010 | 2,378 | 584 | 746 |
| 02 Jan 26 | 10,058 | 1,970 | 580 | 732 |
| 03 Oct 25 | 9,558 | 1,713 | 576 | 729 |
| 27 Jun 25 | 9,097 | 1,469 | 561 | 724 |
| 28 Mar 25 | 8,540 | 1,494 | 538 | 703 |
| 27 Dec 24 | 8,035 | 1,179 | 515 | 687 |
| 27 Sep 24 | 7,265 | 824 | 484 | 664 |
| 28 Jun 24 | 6,551 | 335 | 460 | 654 |
| 29 Mar 24 | 6,266 | -270 | 443 | 643 |
| 29 Dec 23 | 6,471 | -728 | 450 | 731 |
| 29 Sep 23 | 6,803 | -742 | 467 | 709 |
| 30 Jun 23 | 7,384 | -529 | 491 | 772 |
| 31 Mar 23 | 8,410 | -161 | 526 | 872 |
| 30 Dec 22 | 9,352 | 618 | 544 | 853 |
| 30 Sep 22 | 10,581 | 1,152 | 555 | 942 |
| 01 Jul 22 | 11,661 | 1,649 | 559 | 941 |
| 01 Apr 22 | 12,046 | 1,855 | 546 | 926 |
| 31 Dec 21 | 11,975 | 1,838 | 531 | 920 |
| 01 Oct 21 | 11,482 | 1,617 | 517 | 913 |
| 02 Jul 21 | 10,681 | 1,314 | 502 | 903 |
| 02 Apr 21 | 10,185 | 998 | 478 | 893 |
| 01 Jan 21 | 10,172 | 989 | 471 | 912 |
| 02 Oct 20 | 10,245 | 1,027 | 469 | 941 |
| 03 Jul 20 | 10,509 | 1,004 | 473 | 973 |
| 03 Apr 20 | 10,363 | 1,821 | 469 | 992 |
| 03 Jan 20 | 9,958 | 1,696 | 460 | 984 |
| 04 Oct 19 | 9,977 | 1,762 | 460 | 980 |
| 28 Jun 19 | 10,390 | 2,012 | 453 | 991 |
| 29 Mar 19 | 10,854 | 1,490 | 483 | 1,005 |
| 28 Dec 18 | 11,344 | 1,676 | 508 | 1,021 |
| 28 Sep 18 | 11,543 | 1,451 | 530 | 1,025 |
| 29 Jun 18 | 11,184 | 1,182 | 560 | 1,022 |
| 30 Mar 18 | 10,755 | 835 | 569 | 1,020 |
| 29 Dec 17 | 10,626 | 648 | 583 | 1,090 |
| 29 Sep 17 | 10,606 | 786 | 594 | 1,145 |
| 30 Jun 17 | 10,771 | 772 | 606 | 1,232 |
| 31 Mar 17 | 11,019 | 728 | 601 | 1,251 |
| 30 Dec 16 | 10,940 | 514 | 602 | 1,225 |
| 30 Sep 16 | 11,032 | 381 | 608 | 1,224 |
| 01 Jul 16 | 11,160 | 248 | 635 | 1,237 |
| 01 Apr 16 | 11,434 | 315 | 694 | 1,254 |
| 01 Jan 16 | 12,169 | 626 | 764 | 1,302 |
| 02 Oct 15 | 12,879 | 1,395 | 823 | 1,339 |
| 03 Jul 15 | 13,739 | 1,742 | 856 | 1,353 |
Quality Earnings: STX has high quality earnings.
Growing Profit Margin: STX's current net profit margins (21.6%) are higher than last year (17.4%).
Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis
Past Earnings Growth Analysis
Earnings Trend: STX's earnings have grown by 4.8% per year over the past 5 years.
Accelerating Growth: STX's earnings growth over the past year (59.3%) exceeds its 5-year average (4.8% per year).
Earnings vs Industry: STX earnings growth over the past year (59.3%) exceeded the Tech industry 17.2%.
Return on Equity
High ROE: Whilst STX's Return on Equity (217.17%) is outstanding, this metric is skewed due to their high level of debt.
Return on Assets
Return on Capital Employed
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2026/05/11 05:17 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2026/05/08 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2026/04/03 |
| Annual Earnings | 2025/06/27 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
Analysis Model and Snowflake
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Industry and Sector Metrics
Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.
Analyst Sources
Seagate Technology Holdings plc is covered by 49 analysts. 22 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| James Kelleher | Argus Research Company |
| Tristan Gerra | Baird |
| Thomas O'Malley | Barclays |