Stock Analysis

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) Stocks Pounded By 29% But Not Lagging Market On Growth Or Pricing

NasdaqGS:SMCI
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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (NASDAQ:SMCI) shares have retraced a considerable 29% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Regardless, last month's decline is barely a blip on the stock's price chart as it has gained a monstrous 451% in the last year.

Although its price has dipped substantially, given close to half the companies in the United States have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 16x, you may still consider Super Micro Computer as a stock to avoid entirely with its 41.2x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Super Micro Computer has been doing quite well of late. The P/E is probably high because investors think the company will continue to navigate the broader market headwinds better than most. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

See our latest analysis for Super Micro Computer

pe-multiple-vs-industry
NasdaqGS:SMCI Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 2nd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Super Micro Computer.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Super Micro Computer's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 74% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 915% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 39% as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 12% growth forecast for the broader market.

In light of this, it's understandable that Super Micro Computer's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.

The Bottom Line On Super Micro Computer's P/E

Super Micro Computer's shares may have retreated, but its P/E is still flying high. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

As we suspected, our examination of Super Micro Computer's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Super Micro Computer (2 are a bit unpleasant!) that you need to be mindful of.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Super Micro Computer is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.