Stock Analysis

We Think Ondas Holdings (NASDAQ:ONDS) Has A Fair Chunk Of Debt

NasdaqCM:ONDS
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Ondas Holdings Inc. (NASDAQ:ONDS) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ondas Holdings

How Much Debt Does Ondas Holdings Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Ondas Holdings had US$30.7m of debt, up from US$300.0k a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has US$21.0m in cash leading to net debt of about US$9.75m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
NasdaqCM:ONDS Debt to Equity History January 17th 2024

A Look At Ondas Holdings' Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ondas Holdings had liabilities of US$35.6m due within a year, and liabilities of US$19.9m falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of US$21.0m as well as receivables valued at US$5.00m due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling US$29.5m more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Ondas Holdings is worth US$93.3m, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. But it's clear that we should definitely closely examine whether it can manage its debt without dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ondas Holdings can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Over 12 months, Ondas Holdings reported revenue of US$11m, which is a gain of 405%, although it did not report any earnings before interest and tax. When it comes to revenue growth, that's like nailing the game winning 3-pointer!

Caveat Emptor

Despite the top line growth, Ondas Holdings still had an earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss over the last year. Indeed, it lost a very considerable US$42m at the EBIT level. When we look at that and recall the liabilities on its balance sheet, relative to cash, it seems unwise to us for the company to have any debt. Quite frankly we think the balance sheet is far from match-fit, although it could be improved with time. However, it doesn't help that it burned through US$39m of cash over the last year. So in short it's a really risky stock. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 5 warning signs for Ondas Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is concerning.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ondas Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.